In the published conversations of the Lukashists, it is worth paying attention to one important plot.
On the evening of November 19, the NEXTA telegram channel published in one video a series of telephone conversations between people with the voices of the head of the BIHF Dzmitry Baskau and Lukashenka's press secretary Natallia Eismant. According to the Telegram channel, these conversations took place on October 18-19; it is not known who leaked them to NEXTA, writes kyky.org.
For 20 minutes, the interlocutors agree on raids in Minsk courtyards to cut off white-red-white ribbons and paint over murals and discuss whether to take weapons with them. A woman who looks like Eismant insistently offers to take the Massandra wine, which she got from the Russian ambassador, Dmitry Mezentsev. There are unexpected moments in the recordings: the names of top security officials who help organize such raids are named (for example, Lukashenka's assistant - inspector for Minsk Aliaksandr Barsukou, as well as ex-Interior Minister Yury Karaeu). Also, in the conversation, there are phrases "Do not just put in their place, but take away," "Well, yes, in the trunk," "We are like going to war," "Fighting instrument," "Do you have glasses?", "Shall we take wine?", "Let's walk through our courtyards."
It is curious that, on the evening of October 19, some aggressive people arrived at the Megapolis residential complex, as eyewitnesses said: they were filming white-red-white ribbons in the yard. Residents of Megapolis opposed this, and a fight ensued: unknown men in civilian clothes "pushed" local guys to the ground, and unknown women "shone with lanterns in their faces."
Among the uninvited guests - ribbon cutters in Megapolis, they noticed a person similar to Dzmitry Baskau. And now, taking into account the audio leaked to NEXTA, social network users have even more attentively watched the video from that evening and came to the conclusion that Natallia Eismant was in the company of "caring citizens." This indirectly confirms the authenticity of the recordings of telephone conversations made public by NEXTA.
What does all of this mean?
Political observer Artem Shraibman answers: "The already notorious recording of a conversation on the Telegram channel, which cannot be named, is, of course, an extravaganza. It provides many anthropological answers to the questions of who the country is governed by and why it found itself in such a situation. And it gives them better answers than any analytics.
But, aside from the trash with Massandra and ribbons, many did not pay attention to the more important plot. Not only does some special service write the conversations of top officials and people close to the first person (which we all understood), but he also leaks them into a channel that has just been recognized by the same state as either terrorist or extremist.
From the audio, we, in general, did not learn anything strongly discrediting about Baskau. On the contrary, in the first episode, he and a colleague hint that they handed Bandarenka over to AMAP while he was still safe and sound. That is, they show that it's someone else's fault pointing at the Ministry of Internal Affairs, which will not be too happy with such an alignment after it has put people out to guard those who love cutting ribbons.
It also featured "Natasha," who helped to sort out the issue. In the second audio, "Natasha" is already the main character, and both "films" expose her in an unattractive light.
So far, the most convincing version to me is that special services are so dissatisfied with Natallia that they began to leak and shame her in front of the public. Maybe, this is a struggle for access to the body; maybe, this is something else.
I can't imagine a dissident major doing this. Identifying him is half a day's work for management. So the decision was made at the level of the leadership of some of the special services. There are three versions - the KGB, the OAC, or the presidential security service. All of them have the right to search operations, including wiretapping.
Versions about the FSB or Baskau himself do not answer the questions - why do they need it. For the first, it's too small; for the second, there is the risk of losing everything.
If my version is correct, this is a manifestation of very serious turbulence in the system. A lot of mutual mistrust and competition has accumulated inside. The protests have exacerbated these tensions. After the leaks, they will be even more suspicious and afraid of each other.
And it will only get worse. The system has come out of the previous internal balance and is looking for a new one, in which there may be no place for many previously important people."