Opinion: Execution of Lukashenka Is Being Prepared from Three Sides

How do the West, the Russian "fishing rod," and the Chinese "elephant" act?

Russia is increasingly starting to contact the West. Step by step, the contact is becoming more and more open and frequent, the CYNIC telegram channel writes.

Now Russia is trying to cast a line into the murky American political waters in order to catch a magic pike from there, which will fulfill the desire for "conservation in its own juice" during "quiet transit."

New statements are required for "internal use." The American side received the request for a Putin-Biden meeting immediately after Nuland's trip, so yesterday's statement fulfills two functions: (1) - publicly demonstrates Russia's readiness for dialogue and fulfilling several conditions in exchange for the conditions of its partners; (2) - prepares public opinion for the upcoming negotiations, where the "Geneva deals" will be revised, the deadline for the execution of which ends in December, simultaneously with the introduction of American sanctions on Belarus.

Thus, we see that Russia is initiating a dialogue. The key position is the "China imperial question," which the Kremlin's political elite should not join. The US plans include the political isolation of Russia in order to maintain a balance on the China-US political board. In a bipolar world, Russia is a source of additional instability, so Putin's hands are untied on any "domestic policy," and, at the same time, the West itself turns a blind eye to several manifestations in foreign policy but takes away the possibility of military ultimatums to Europe through Ukraine and Belarus.

In this sense, military bases, which have been discussed for several years, are interesting. They are not instruments of external pressure on the borders of Europe (by condition) but are a way of implementing the neo-Armenian scenario we often mention with an eternal "ultimatum-threat."

This seems to be the condition of the "Geneva" and "Nuland" deal - Belarus retains its sovereignty, it is given the opportunity to democratize and liberalize, but at the same time, there is no possibility of becoming a "military threat" for Russia by joining NATO.

Thus, the West gets a stable economic partner; China gets a stable political position that allows building a "new silk road" without the risk of being blocked for political reasons, and Russia gets a stable permanent economic and military ally.

Lukashenka can claim the throne only for personal ambitions - he is not beneficial to either side. For the first side, he is a dictator and organizer of a humanitarian catastrophe; for the second, he is a damper for the "transit of goods"; for the latter, he is a traitor.

So even with a bad scenario, it is better for him to run right away, otherwise, there is a chance of not being able to get his head out of the country - the three sides can prepare an execution.