"Hot Spring" In Belarus Will Lead To Paralysis Of Most Regime Institutions

There are signals about a difficult situation in the power camp.

Belarus may return to the situation of strong political turbulence, as it happened right after the presidential elections, political commentator Arkadz Nestsiarenka writes on the Our Opinion website.

The determining factor here is the regular mass street protests in the capital city. If mass protests resume on the scale of August-November 2020, there is a chance that we will return to a situation of political uncertainty and paralysis of most state institutions.

Protest leaders will be able to put forward new conditions to the current government.

This scenario is quite probable, because before almost no one seriously predicted that the post-election protests in Belarus would last for months.

"It is worth noting that the level of fatigue from the political crisis is accumulated among the supporters of the regime," - the expert notes. It is the accumulated fatigue in the camp of the authorities that allows to say that the repetition of the August 2020 events is possible.

Moreover, there is increasing international pressure on the Lukashenka regime.

"Theoretically, it is possible to create conditions under which the political crisis in Belarus will become a subject of discussion and bargaining between the White House and the Kremlin, or in a one-way fashion - between the Kremlin and the official Minsk. In this case, external players could act as a new catalyst for the Belarusian revolution," - the expert says.