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Andrei Suzdaltsev: China Is Watching Attentively Process Of Decay Of Belarusian Regime

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Andrei Suzdaltsev: China Is Watching Attentively Process Of Decay Of Belarusian Regime
ANDREY SUZDALTSEV

Putin can determine the fate of Lukashenka in 15 minutes.

Who is Lukashenka dependent on now? The Belarusian regime is 100% dependent on Moscow's goodwill, Russian political analyst Andrei Suzdaltsev writes.

- There is also no secret that Putin can easily determine Lukashenka's destiny within 15 minutes, but of course, first of all, Russia needs to calculate the risks and losses from such an instant change of power in the neighboring state, which is tied to Russia by a whole complex of treaties and agreements.

It is clear that Lukashenka has outgamed himself, and his enormous political and economic dependence on Moscow is literally strangling him. After a quarter of a century of playing geopolitical balancing, he ended up with one "wing" after August 9, 2020, and after May 23, 2021. The West (for now) is out of the game. The attempts to start balancing between Russia and China only alerted Moscow and caused smiles in Beijing. It is worth mentioning that China, naturally, while formally supporting the ruling regime, is closely watching the process of decay of Lukashenka's regime, but it is not concerned about it, because, on the one hand, Beijing's investments in Belarus are paltry, and, on the other hand, Moscow will take care of the Chinese interests in Belarus.

Lukashenka is lurching, pulling up all his contacts, in spring and early summer he tried to have a dialogue with the presidents of Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, sent the prime minister to Kazakhstan, and made signs to Beijing, but to no avail. The regime is isolated and Lukashenka has only one companion left - Putin.

When meeting Lukashenka, the Russian president is cordial, always demonstrating a willingness to listen to the emotional guest from Minsk, but often openly mocking the concerns of the Belarusian leader. Sometimes Russian-Belarusian summits remind of a child's nightmare on a summer evening at the country house, when a fly caught in a spider's web is buzzing madly somewhere outside the gate, and a "good-natured" spider is already winking to it from his corner with all his eight eyes.

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