28 March 2024, Thursday, 14:34
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Final Trigger

8
Final Trigger

The stability of the system has reached its lowest point.

A few facts from the Belarusian reality which are important to realise:

1. Belarus is already occupied. The presence of a foreign military contingent with so many soldiers on its territory for no reason at all is an occupation.

2) Since the country is occupied, no one is now in a fit state to make sovereign decisions. Not even Lukashenka. Belarus has lost its sovereignty in the international field entirely, because it is no longer able to control its territory.

3. The blame for the loss of sovereignty lies entirely with Lukashenka and Foreign Minister Makei. The first one, out of his irrepressible thirst for power, the second one, out of defective cowardice, went against the will of the people and gave away the independence of the country - earned with the blood of the previous generations - for the sake of their collective farm and lace-curtain interests. This is their personal responsibility and a disgrace that has been written down in history.

4. In case of an armed provocation, carried out from the territory of Belarus, Belarus will be recognized as an aggressor country. In this case the other side of the conflict will have a full right to conduct military operations on the territory of Belarus.

5. At the same time, a hot armed conflict (which is unlikely, though) could trigger a powerful turbulence that would open a window of opportunity for a watershed change in Belarus. Tens of thousands of Belarusians could return back to the country. It is not ruled out that some of them might even return by a tank.

6. The Belarusian democratic field is completely invalidated. By January 2022, there will be no subjective structures able to have a serious impact on political processes. And it is normal and natural, as social demands have changed. The democratic agenda is mainly supported by a number of civil initiatives and media.

7. The stability of the system has also reached its lowest point. Therefore, any trigger can be the final one.

8. Despite the apparent lull, a flock of black swans is flying towards Belarus. Everyone should get ready to the maximum extent possible.

Aliaksandr Apeikin, Telegram

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