1 April 2023, Saturday, 1:49
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Ukrainian General: Putin Prepares New 'Goodwill Gesture'. Backbone Of His Army 75% Destroyed

Ukrainian General: Putin Prepares New 'Goodwill Gesture'. Backbone Of His Army 75% Destroyed

Another successful AFU operation will bear irreversible consequences for the Kremlin.

Nine months after the start of the war, the backbone of Russia's terrorist country's army is 75 per cent undermined. The Ukrainian army has destroyed the enemy's most combat-ready and elite units. Its military and technical potential has also been seriously damaged. The key in this situation is to keep the offensive momentum. Another successful AFU operation may cause a loss of power for Kremlin head Putin.

Under the pressure of the Ukrainian army and world leaders, the aggressor is already preparing for a "goodwill gesture" of withdrawal from the Zaporizhzhia NPP. Meanwhile, one prepares to retreat from the left-bank part of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine in 2005-2010, Army General Mykola Malomuzh voiced this forecast in an exclusive interview with obozrevatel.com.

- Enerhoatom President Petro Kotin suggested that the occupant might leave Zaporizhzhia NPP. He estimates, however, one should not expect this in the near future. Do you think such option is possible?

- The Russian Federation knows that it will still have to leave the left bank of Kherson and possibly Zaporizhzhia Oblast. They have repeatedly stated that the Ukrainian army would conduct an offensive operation of a strategic nature in this direction. There have been recorded facts of collaborators' departure from these areas to the territory of Crimea and Russia. It signals that the liberation of these territories, including the Zaporizhzhia NPP, by our troops is possible.

On the other hand, Russia's plans for trying to blackmail the world with a nuclear threat from the ZNPP have been revealed. It accused Ukraine of planning to blow up the plant, shut it down, cut off the power supply, etc. This game was played for a long time. However, it failed because there was developed a mechanism of control, both international and individual IAEA specialists, to find out the real situation at the Zaporizhzhia NPP.

IAEA representatives are there and are well aware of the situation and who is to blame. All world leaders understand this. This is why unofficially, a very powerful pressure is put on Putin because nuclear safety is a very sensitive issue for all countries. Such pressure, along with the prospect of a new offensive by our troops, of course, affects Russia's position.

Yes, they will not leave the ZNPP any time soon. They will try to maintain their positions and provoke the situation, especially with shelling, blaming the Ukrainian side. As the pressure on Russia continues, including from the members of the nuclear club, Putin may be forced to manifest "good will" and give the ZNPP over to international control of the IAEA.

But I don't think it will happen quickly, because, first of all, Putin will not give up anything quickly. It requires very powerful prerequisites - both the successful offensive of the Ukrainian army, especially in these directions, and continued pressure on Putin regarding the development of international control mechanisms. This is the second point. The third is Putin's preparation of a large-scale information operation accusing Ukraine and a "goodwill gesture" to place the ZNPP under international control.

The process is underway. It's still in the middle stage. Russia is already drawing up plans to leave ZNPP and what it will gain from this.

- But there are other Ukrainian NPPs, which face the danger of emergency power cuts due to the destruction of Ukraine's energy infrastructure by the enemy. How can we prevent the worst-case scenario?

- First and foremost, it is necessary to prevent mass shelling. This is the main thing. We expect massive missile strikes to occur every week, and the Russians are concentrating new groups on the Black Sea and in Russia and Belarus to strike infrastructure, especially energy infrastructure. So this is a big problem.

The issue is resolved at the level of global pressure on Russia not to carry out such operations. This is blatant genocide and terror. Such strikes are not justified. This is a crime against the Ukrainian people.

But the nuclear power plants have their technological cycles. I think that Russia will not strike a nuclear power plant because this is a direct violation of international norms of nuclear safety. To strike any nuclear power plant would be considered as an act of global terror.

Therefore, the enemy has concentrated strikes on stepup substations, the electric power transmission system. However, NPPs may shut down in some critical situations. This is a transition to neutral mode. If the NPPs are disconnected from the power system, they work in idle mode. No serious consequences are for them, but there are repercussions for the citizens who do not receive electricity.

- The head of the Ministry of Defense of Estonia stated that the threat from the Russian Federation has not decreased, despite the heavy losses of the enemy on the frontline. He believes that the occupant may restore the number of troops soon. Meanwhile, we remember that the first "Rammstein" set the task to weaken the Russian army so much that it would not be able to carry out aggression. So far, we do not observe this task has been accomplished. What is the reason? May the West want a soft version of Russia's defeat in this war?

- Yes, the West is not trying to supply us with the kind of arms that would ensure a quick victory. This includes long-range ballistic missiles that can strike at distances of up to 700 kilometers, that can hit the enemy on his territory as well, and that can cover all of the enemy's firepower. This would be a prerequisite for rapid offensive operations.

The West is afraid to engage in open confrontation with Russia and provoke a global nuclear war. That is why Ukraine is supported in a very broad spectrum, but strategic armaments are still not supplied.

Along with this, the position of individual NATO countries is gradually changing. The British Prime Minister and Minister of Defense announced deliveries of long-range missiles to Ukraine - over 100 km.

As for the assessment of the potential of the Russian army, I do not agree with the Minister of Defense of Estonia. It is severely undermined, especially in terms of combat capabilities. In fact, the combat-ready units of the Russian Federation were 70-75% out of service, and some of them were disbanded altogether - the personnel were either killed or put out of action due to severe wounds. A large number of military equipment, including the latest hardware, was also destroyed. T-90 and T-80 tanks are already rare. As a rule, the aggressor uses tanks produced in the 1960s and 70s.

Therefore, it is not quite correct to say that the military potential of the Russian Federation has not been undermined. It is undermined. The main units are undermined-the Marines, the airborne troops, elite divisions like the Kantemirovskaya or Tamanskaya divisions, and the Airborne Troops. This is the backbone of the Russian Army, which carried out tasks both in Russia and abroad.

As for mobilization, these are untrained people. Now they are being hastily trained, but they do not participate in a combat. The Ukrainian army has vast experience in combat operations and high-precision weapons. Therefore, the next shaft of the occupation army of about 200 thousand, which is expected after the New Year, will not be successful enough, especially in winter.

This is not the kind of war when the number of personnel matters. Yes, they can cause a big problem for us in terms of confrontation, combat and offensive operations. But it will not be a decisive factor for the offensive as a whole on our country. The perimeter of Ukraine's border with Russia and Belarus is huge, millions of people are needed here. Russia is not capable of this now.

The West will support us on all fronts, including with tanks and missiles, self-propelled howitzers, F-15 and F-16 aircraft, air defense systems, and long-range missiles. If Russia pulls up more powerful reserves, more powerful means of the West will also pull up; a number of restrictions will be removed.

If we succeed in an offensive in the next few months, it would pre-empt future invasions, because panic and lack of prospects would reign in the enemy's camp, and the morale of the military would further decrease. And then the Russian leadership will think about how to eliminate Putin - by sending him to retirement or in some other way. But that is another story. Perhaps, other people will negotiate new terms of peace.