What Threatens Kremlin With Dagestan Uprising

The seeds of protest fell on fertile ground.

Analysts predicted an outbreak in Dagestan when they wrote about the unilateral decision of Chechnya leader Ramzan Kadyrov, to stop partial mobilization on the territory of the Chechen Republic.

Editor-in-chief of Apostrophe and military observer Denis Popovich indicated.

This decision could have been dictated by both Kadyrov's personal ambitions and hidden processes in the republic itself, fraught with the same people's uprisings. After that, the Dagestanis could have a reasonable question: "Is it possible?"

But not only Kadyrov's demarche became a catalyst for rallies in Dagestan, Denis Popovich is sure.

The disorderly mobilization for the war with Ukraine gave rise to memories of the history of the Caucasus people's enslavement by Russians. Hence the references to the work of Taras Shevchenko, and the cries of Dagestan women: “The invader was never a shahid”, and the following appeals: “Today has shown that all your millions spent on putting out the light of Islam and making us slaves have gone down the toilet!”

In addition, people in Dagestan are very dissatisfied with the Kremlin leader of the republic, Sergei Melikov. They call him the Gauleiter and openly demand that he leave for Russia. Residents of the national republics of the Russian Federation believe that the Russians want to deal with them, raking their men to Ukraine for slaughter. So the seeds of protest fell on fertile ground, the editor-in-chief of Apostrophe is sure.

Does the outbreak in the Caucasus, which will no doubt grow, mean the end of the Putin regime? But it's unlikely by itself. Moreover, Denis Popovich does not exclude that it most likely will not even suspend the process of mobilization on a national scale.

According to him, the problem lies elsewhere. The centralized Russian government does not support multitasking. The Kremlin's working memory was already overloaded with tasks related to the conduct of a "special military operation" in Ukraine. Without finishing one process, the mobilization with all the accompanying calls was also loaded into this memory.

Protest outbreaks in the Caucasus, even if this does not grow into a big fire, are another bunch of inputs into the tired brain of the empire. Military observer Denis Popovich gave an analogy of an old computer, the system will begin to "slow down", make belated decisions, and crumble.