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Lukashenka Is in Political Trap

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Lukashenka Is in Political Trap
Photo: EPA

He'll still have to pack his bags.

On politoboz.com, Russian political analyst Andrei Suzdaltsev analyzed the meeting between Lukashenka and Putin in Sochi and concluded that the Belarusian usurper had fallen into a political trap:

- Lukashenka's entourage considered Moscow could fall for new promises - get advances for promised "sales." In exchange for promises in the economic and integration spheres, the Russian leadership would not resist substituting the Sochi process with support for Lukashenka's retention of power. In other words, Lukashenka was going to the southern capital of Russia with the slogan: "Trust me for (another) last time".

The Russian political analyst believes Lukashenka has almost nothing to offer to the Kremlin:

- The Russian side was not inspired by the proposals to invest in or sell some Belarusian economic "flagships". According to the Belarusian leadership, the political class, and the expert community of Belarus, it should have aroused incredible enthusiasm among Russian business. Moreover, the legend about a great attraction of Belarusian "tidbits" seems to be one of the most realistic among Belarusian myths. It cannot but arouse surprise. How can enterprises that have not been modernized for at least 30-40 years, deprived of modern technologies and exporting their products exclusively to the Russian market, be "tidbits"? At best, they have long attracted the attention of historians of the industrial era...

Lukashenka does not want to accept the idea that the time of Russian advances is over:

- Lukashenka did not stay on the Black Sea coast and was already in the Belarusian capital by the evening of February 23. Before he departed from Adler, the Belarusian leader made the last attempt to solve the main task of his visit to Russia - the financial one. However, the phone conversation with the Russian president was unsuccessful. The Belarusian leader arrived in Minsk with "empty suitcases".

Lukashenka was caught in a political trap. To preserve the regime, the Belarusian leader needs Russia's political cover and subsidies (Minsk will never pay back the loans in the "Yanukovich-2013" format). However, Lukashenka needs to launch the transit of power to get financial support.

A Russian political analyst believes that if Lukashenka makes concessions, he will lose power soon:

- In other words, a transit of power in Belarus will eventually take place. Why does Lukashenka need financial assistance from Russia, if he is going to pack his suitcases anyway?

Meanwhile, time is running out. It's already spring...

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