Will Vova Betray Sasha?

Now it looks quite real.

Will Vova betray Sasha? Before the Geneva meeting of Putin and Biden, this question is not an idle one. Even the majority of civil bureaucrats in the service of the regime would like Putin to "betray" so "it's all over," the telegram channel Liusterka Ulady writes.

However, there is clearly no reason to count on a quick result of the Geneva dialogue. Including because the general public may not know about the result for a long time. Let us also remind you that Putin does not like to do anything under pressure. And, for example, the creation of some Bratislava (Zagreb, Stockholm, etc.) international group for settlement in Belarus would already mean that Putin retreated under pressure.

But this does not mean that the parties will not agree to some "Tricky Secret Decision" (CPR). For example, once again to spur the constitutional reform in the Republic of Belarus and early elections. Also behind the scenes. And very tough. Now (after the plane) it looks quite real. Even from a moral point of view.

Lukashenka so many times brazenly deceived, betrayed, actually called Putin names, and insulted him, that his support that still lasts now seems mystical. Although, maybe the reasoning is simple: "God forbid something happens."

Moreover, Putin has no one to demonstrate that he does not abandon his "sons of bitches." All Central Asian rulers are successfully reducing their dependence on the Russian Federation, balancing between Turkey and China. Who else to show? To Pashinyan, organically alien to Putin? To Dodon, doomed to fail with his social-com-coalition in the parliamentary elections in July? To Assad? But Assad does not need to be shown anything, since he has no choice and no subjectivity at all.

Nevertheless, for the sum of reasons the question in the title can be answered as follows, so far. He can betray. But no one should know about it.