“Novaya politika”: Dictatorship in Belarus is verging to the finish

The situation which has come about between Lukashenka and the leadership of Russia could be summed up shortly: “Sick and tired of him!”

On Monday Alyaksandr Lukashenka once again celebrated his birthday. On eh same day the world community marked the International Day of the Disappeared. And a part of Belarusian opposition held a conference in Moscow called “End of the union and beginning of pragmatic partnership?” Attendance of the Belarusian ruler had not been planned there. Moreover, the president and the prime minister of Russia “have forgotten” to congratulate the ally on his birthday. In general, it was a hard Monday for mister Lukashenka. And nothing easier is expected in the future. “Batka” will have elections either in December of this year or in February of the next one. And it would not be an easy campaign, a Russian magazine “Novaya politika” writes.

Election is certainly a matter which is easy to the utmost in Belarus. As Lukashenka wants to run for the forth term, we will win the vote. For a long time the result of the elections does not depend on the opinion of voters in Belarus, but only on loyalty and promptness in obeying of the Central Elections Committee Yarmoshyna and local election commissions. This electoral low comedy has never been recognized by the European structures, but up to now Russia preferred to close its eyes to the oddity of Belarusian elections. But it looks like there would be no unconditional support this time…

After a media blitz carried out by Russian TV channels, it has become clear that Moscow is not going to be too soft on its ally any more. “Godbatka” series has caused many discussions among analysts. The main question is: what for it had been screened? Indeed, a lot of truthful information about Alyaksandr Lukashenka has been collected in the three revelatory films. There were no eye-openers in these films for the Belarusian opposition and Russian journalists specialized in Belarus.

Russia has made it clear for the Belarusian opposition that this time it won’t support Lukashenka in the election. The same signal has been sent to Batka’s entourage: for them to think about their future and take the right decision.

Judging by the general impression, the situation in Belarus is coming to the close. Economic and political tensions inside the country and in relations with neighbours have reached the peak after which an inevitable epilogue is to come by the rules of the genre. It can happen not during the electi0ons, but a little later, when the time to pay for European credits will come, and Russia will give no more preferences and money.