Andrei Suzdaltsev: Minsk Will Not Get Money From Moscow

The blue-fingered one has over bargained and brought the situation into a deadlock.

Minsk won't get any money from Moscow. Russian political scientist Andrei Suzdaltsev says so on the politoboz.com website.

- In August 2021, there comes the fourth and apparently the final stage of Belarus' wandering along the constitutional "corridor". Formally, Moscow has no questions to A. Lukashenka - the new Constitution exists. Another thing is that the new Constitution creates a monarchy in Belarus, which means that A. Lukashenka stays in power in any case. What is to be done with transit, then? The game has entered its dramatic phase.

In fact, A. Lukashenka was expecting that he would be able to "slip through" and, having headed the presidium of the All-Belarusian Assembly, he would become out of reach for both the Belarusian people and Russia. However, feeling that Moscow will not accept such a monarchic Constitution (at the moment), A. Lukashenka returned the text for "follow-on revision" right during his press-conference on August 9, 2021. Minsk must bide its time, the new Constitution must "mature" to the stage of bargaining with Moscow, but money is needed right now and urgently.

Then A. Lukashenka played like an experienced card-joker right during the press conference. Having "thrown down" the Constitution from the table, A. Lukashenka gave away the main "trump card": he is going to leave his post "very soon"! It was repeated twice and became an information sensation. So, formally, Lukashenka has "put up for auction" his power. Will Moscow not bite?

Moscow will not bite as the game with a cheat makes no sense. It is clear that Lukashenka will never resign from his power on his own will. He might leave his presidential office in order to move to the monarchic and irremovable office of the chairman of the Supreme National Assembly according to the new Constitution. In other words, officially, the transit of power in Belarus will take place, but A. Lukashenka will stay. Without money.

In any case, we have got another confirmation, on one hand, that A. Lukashenka will not conduct any transit of power, he is not choosing any successors, but, on the other hand, Minsk will not get any money from Moscow either. The game makes no sense: they offer A. Lukashenka "to exchange" power for money. But what does the Belarusian leader need money for when he loses power? He won't be able to dispose of it. In a word, A. Lukashenka has over bargained and brought the situation to a standstill. This is his last bargaining...