Lukashenka's Blitzkrieg Failed

The Cockroach himself provokes the European Union to take a tougher response.

Poland introduces a state of emergency on the border with Belarus. At the same time, it was announced that the European Union is preparing the fifth package of sanctions against the official Minsk. One of the reasons for the new sanctions is that the Belarusian authorities are using migrants as a tool against the EU.

Political scientist Vadzim Mazheika told about the new level of the migration crisis, reports Belarusian Partisan:

- After Lithuania's reply, one should have expected that Belarus would send flows of migrants to Poland, to Latvia. When a hybrid war is being waged against you, the decision to introduce an emergency regime on the border with Belarus looks quite logical and expected. The decision taken reflects the nature of what is happening at the border.

- Is the migration crisis escalating?

- I would say, not an escalation, but the spread of the migration crisis.

When the blitzkrieg failed, and the ambitions remained, it’s even not bad that the crisis entered a protracted phase. Based on the dynamics of the development of the crisis on the Belarusian-Lithuanian border, the situation could have escalated to armed clashes, and not necessarily planned ones. Therefore, in my opinion, a crisis in a sluggish phase is not the worst scenario for the development of a migration crisis.

- Yesterday, Polish President Andrzej Duda introduced a state of emergency on the border, and today the European Parliament started talking about the start of preparing a new, fifth package of sanctions. Should the fifth package of sanctions be perceived as the EU's response to the migration crisis?

- An absolutely logical answer from the European Union.

The European Union actually answers: the more problems you create, the tougher the response will be.

Each subsequent action of Lukashenka brings the problem closer to Europe. And the point is not that the Lukashenka regime treats migrants worse than protesters. The problem must be considered as a whole. Lukashenka's problem is not outside the EU borders, but directly on the borders. Therefore, Lukashenka himself provokes the European Union to take a tougher response.