Political Scientist: Lukashenka Finds Himself In Weird Position

Did the Belarusian dictator consider escaping Belarus?

After the start of large-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine, Aliaksandr Lukashenka considered the option of fleeing through Warsaw. Dziennik Gazeta Prawna journalist Zbigniew Parafianowicz writes about this in his book “Polska na wojnie” (“Poland at War”), which was recently published in Poland.

Is it possible? Journalists of Charter97.org asked Ukrainian political scientist and author Volodymyr Tsybulko about it:

– That’s a weird version. Lukashenka has alternate sites to escape. Not democratic countries, because if he ends up in democratic countries, then the relatives of the dead oppositionists will simply drag him through the courts, and Lukashenka will simply end up in the dock of the International Criminal Court.

I believe he has a place in Zimbabwe, Saudi Arabia and China, of course.

– The journalist claims that the Russians would not allow Lukashenka to enter their airspace. Would the Russians really have prevented Lukashenka from taking off from Belarus?

– Yes, Belarus and Russia have a joint airspace. Moscow has control over it. The Belarusian airline company Belavia is semi-autonomous. It cannot exist without the Russian market at all. But if Lukashenka really had to flee, he would still have a corridor in Ukraine. Here he could simply cross the border by helicopter; airplanes are not necessary for this. The fact is that he has a Minister of Internal Affairs, Ivan Kubrakou, whose nephew, Oleksandr Kubrakov, is now the Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine.

– So you think that Lukashenka could easily fly somewhere through Ukraine like that?

– He may be useful to the defence intelligence services when he tries to bargain for asylum. Lukashenka is in a weird position because he was unable to prevent an attack by Russian troops on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus. Since he did not prevent the deployment of a huge number of Russian troops in Belarus, it means that he is Putin’s accomplice, but he is such a passive accomplice.

But in terms of kidnapping children from the territory of Ukraine, here he is a direct accomplice. In this regard, Lukashenka is a potential target for investigation by the International Criminal Court, because some of the children kidnapped in Ukraine ended up in Belarus. In this regard, he must sit in the same dock with Putin and be charged with the same case for this war crime.

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