Will Belarusian Volunteers Decide To Liberate Mazyr?

The raid in the Belgorod region launched an uncomfortable discussion for Lukashenka.

Russian volunteer fighters entered the territory of the Russian Federation for the third time. The authorities of the Belgorod region have allegedly been preparing for such attacks for a long time, building fortifications, but volunteer raids are becoming more and more successful.

These raids strain not only Putin, but also Lukashenka. The Belarusian dictator is also afraid that this can happen to him.

Polish General, former Deputy Minister of Defense Waldemar Skrzypczak said that Warsaw should be ready to support the troops that will conduct an operation against Lukashenka. He clarified that he was talking about a military operation.

“It has no military potential to be able to prevent such an uprising. Russia will not help him much, as it will have its own problems,” the Polish general said about the Belarusian regime.

The statement of the Polish general caused hysteria among Lukashenka’s and the Kremlin’s media.

Ukrainian political scientist and expert of the Center for Belarusian Communications Maksim Pleshko noted that Ukraine is interested in “a free, democratic Belarus with a national consciousness” on the northern border of the country.

The expert believes that if the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine ends in success, then those armed Belarusians who are part of the combat potential of the Ukrainian army will not lay down their arms, but will go to liberate Belarus from the dictatorship. Pleshko also drew attention to the professionalism of the Belarusian volunteers compared to Lukashenka's militia.

“If we compare the Belarusian volunteers and those who are given weapons today in these militias, then the Kalinovites know how to fight in a modern way. I would say that they are special action infantry, they know how to fight with the help of drones and heavy weapons seized from the Russians. They are valuable and they operate very skillfully. I think that several thousand Belarusian volunteers can ‘make the weather’ in Belarus.,” a Ukrainian political scientist shared his opinion with Charter97.org.

President of the Institute for Public Affairs (IVO) (Bratislava) Grigorij Mesežnikov, expressed the opinion in an interview with Charter97.org that the Belarusian volunteer troops are a serious threat to the Lukashenka regime.

“I think that such considerations turned Lukashenka away from the fact that the Belarusian armed forces took a direct part in the aggression against Ukraine. He feared that it might happen that the Ukrainian troops, together with the Belarusian volunteer units, would begin to win this war. Naturally, they would have ousted Lukashenka's troops brought into Ukraine, which, by the way, could themselves join the Ukrainian army and go on the offensive against Minsk,” the Slovak political scientist said.

Viktor Yagun, the reserve Major General Viktor Yagun, former deputy head of the Security Service of Ukraine (SSU), believes that a repetition of the "Belgorod scenario" in Belarus is possible.

“This will happen if the Belarusian regime crosses the border or some other limits even a centimeter deep, declares war or something like that. If there are any particular moves on his part, then I do not exclude that the Belarusian volunteers will repeat the raid and reach Minsk. It will be much worse because the people of Belarus are still not like the Russians. The Russian government, by the way, understands this. That’s the reason not to annex it completely. I think no one will restrain the Belarusians from entering the territory of Belarus with arms and putting things in order there,” the Major General told Charter97.org.

Military expert of the Ukrainian Institute of the Future, Ivan Stupak, also drew attention to the fact that Lukashenka is afraid of a repetition of the “Belgorod scenario” in Belarus.

“He [Lukashenka - Ed.] went to ask for some guarantees that Russia will support Belarus in case the same story happens with Belarus. For example, when the Kalinouski regiment, the fighters who are fighting for Ukraine on the territory of Ukraine, will try to just return home. Lukashenka, apparently, wants to secure support, get some written guarantees, or ask for hardware and people to stand on the border,” the expert said in an interview with TSN.