Forbes Reveals Main Objective Of Ukrainian Armed Forces' Attack On Russia's Millerovo Airfield

The raids put Russians in a dilemma of time and distance.

Ukrainian drones carried out a large-scale attack on the Millerovo airbase in the Rostov region of Russia on Monday, the targets could have been the remaining Su-25 attack aircraft of the Russian Air Force, which still take off from this airfield to attack the front lines in Ukraine.

At the same time, as Forbes analyst David Axe writes, the goal of such Ukrainian strikes is not always to destroy specific buildings or pieces of equipment. According to Tatarigami, the founder of the Ukrainian analytical group Frontelligence Insight, “the goal is to steadily increase the cost of war for Russia” by instilling fear, increasing risk and disrupting operations.

And, as Ax notes, this strategy is working. As Ukraine increases its use of deep-strike munitions – both Western missiles (ATACMS, SCALP-EG and Storm Shadow) and its own missiles and drones – the Russians are moving their forces further away from the front lines.

“Last year, commercial satellites spotted dozens of Su-25s and Sukhoi Su-30 fighters at Millerovo. This fall, the same satellites observed just a handful of Su-25s left at the base,” Axe notes.

The analyst points out that this evacuation may have saved valuable Russian aircraft from being destroyed in the recent drone attack. But that doesn’t mean the Ukrainian raids on the Rostov airfield are pointless.

“The raids force the Russians into a time-distance dilemma. Operating from bases as far as 400 miles from the front line, instead of just 100 miles, limits how often Russian warplanes can fly in a given week—and also limits how long they can linger over the front during their less frequent sorties. Sure, the Russian air force is preserving its planes. But in doing so, it’s making the planes less useful,” Axe explains.

This is 'good math' for Ukraine, and it will improve as Ukrainian munitions penetrate deeper and more frequently into Russia, he concludes.

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