NYT: Russia May Suddenly Run Out Of Tanks

This will lead to a turning point on the front.

American shells and ammunition are useful on the battlefield, but so far the weapons provided to Ukraine by Western countries have not had a decisive effect on the battlefield. This is written by the NYT.

“Biden’s decision made the main difference not on the battlefield, but among all the other countries that followed his example,” Ben Barry, a senior fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, told the NYT.

Analysts say that the influx of Western aid has made it easier for Ukraine to defend its positions, but has not yet had a decisive effect, since Russia retains a significant advantage in manpower and firepower

The NYT’s interlocutors suggested that Russia will continue offensive actions for most of 2024.

“But at some point it may face a shortage of tanks and armored vehicles. We have seen a really significant number of tanks and armored vehicles fighting on the Avdiivka front since October. And this rate of losses is probably not sustainable in the long term,” said Rob Lee, a senior fellow in the Eurasia Program at the Foreign Policy Institute.

He also specified that Russian troops “have not taken advantage of the Kharkiv offensive, although they have managed to force Ukraine to withdraw some forces from the Donbas.”

What Ukrainian fighters say

Ukrainian Lieutenant Denys Yaroslavsky noted that Ukrainian artillery brigades can now shell Russian troops more often.

“The Russian offensive has largely stopped. But south of Kharkiv, in the Donbas, Russia has resumed attacks on Ukrainian positions,” the article says.

According to reports from soldiers on the front, military reports and satellite maps of the battlefield compiled by independent monitoring groups, the front line has not moved significantly in more than two weeks despite intense and bloody fighting.

“Russia is now forced to rely on aerial bombs and longer-range missiles, which are more expensive than artillery shells,” the analysts explained.

According to Ukrainian commanders, Russian forces advanced about six miles into Ukraine before becoming bogged down by more heavily fortified Ukrainian positions. The commanders also said more Ukrainian troops had arrived to contain the Russian advance and that more American ammunition was being delivered to the front lines.

Lt. Yaroslavsky said Ukraine could hold its current positions by disrupting Russian logistics nearby by striking inside Russia.