'That's Consequences Of His Fear – Lukashenka's Fear Of Moscow'

How the fears of the Belarusian dictator influenced his policy.

Russian lawyer and well-known blogger Mark Feygin told Radio Liberty what Aliaksandr Lukashenka is afraid of:

— There was such an illusion that the weak Yeltsin would be replaced by Lukashenka as the head of the "union state". The position seems to be nominal, but at the same time there will be changes both in Russia and in Belarus, there will be some politicians of formally national jurisdictions who will head them. But a person like Lukashenka will take care of all this.

And Lukashenka at some point believed this, political strategists worked for this, even Lord Bell was brought to him from Britain. They drew such schemes for him, some analysts said that he quite had grounds for ambitions towards Russia or the Union State in a broader sense.

And he really wanted to become such a kind dad in relation to the entire Slavic area. But it would never come true. The Russian system would never allow such an alien element to take the lead.

And he was alien not only in the national sense, but also did not come from the necessary source of the system, which the KGB remained for Russia in the late 90s and early 00s.

And Lukashenka, who had nothing to do with him, had no chance. He would have been stopped by any means. And at some point, I think, he was told, do not think that you will be allowed to lead Russia so easily. If necessary, we can eliminate you.

I think that he always felt fear from this threat of liquidation. Remember the noisy story with the Wagnerites in the summer of 2020. There were versions that it was an operation of the Ukrainian special services to detain them.

But Lukashenka perceived this as an attempt to influence the elections in Belarus, as an attempt to eliminate it. And he detained these 39 people, precisely because of a threat to himself, and not because they were going somewhere in Africa.

And do you remember how many cases there were with the identification of "agents of Moscow" among the security forces? These, too, were the consequences of his fear, his fears of Moscow, which he never fully satisfied.

And he always felt threatened by his possible elimination, his possible elimination.

According to Feygin, another serious threat to Lukashenka could be the formation of a national independent state. Therefore, the dictator always opposed this and openly prevented it, playing a fatal role in the history of Belarus:

— Lukashenka understood that it was a big risk for him. If the national origin showed itself fully, it would become a threat to his power. Therefore, he combined Soviet orders and Soviet traditions with a pro-Russian narrative and suppressed everything national, from the flag, language, etc.

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