Putin's Regime Is Devouring Itself

About the obvious symptoms of cannibalism of the empire.

A long two and a half years have passed since the criminal and bloody invasion of Ukraine by the Russian occupiers. The most terrible aggression of our time, reviving the traditions of Hitlerism, became a symbol of the dictatorial rule of the late Putin's power. Kremlin propagandists, among whom frustration is growing due to the collapse of the victorious war, are beginning to realize that now is a turning point in post-Soviet history, the Russian hegemonic model of domination has come to an inglorious end. It's time to find the culprit of this sad situation, and since there is no opposition within the Russian Federation after the deaths of putschist Prigozhin and non-systemic Navalny, the regime begins to devour itself.

A clear symptom of the accelerated cannibalization of the neo-imperial corpse was the unprecedented drop in Putin's rating. According to the Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM), the approval of the activities of the master of the Kremlin fell by 3.5 percentage points over the past week. At the same time, the indicators of trust in the elderly leader decreased by 2.6 percentage points. Such a sharp drop did not happen during the entire war, except that Prigozhin's rebellion shook Putin's position similarly. The sympathy of the masses is definitely no longer with Putin, and a group of factors is working here at once.

Undoubtedly, the rating of the Kremlinist number one – the August counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region – knocked down the most. More than a thousand square kilometers of the territory of this region is beyond the control of the Russians or in the growing gray zone of contact hostilities. Tens of thousands of internally displaced persons and refugees from the Kursk region, the risks for the Kursk NPP are clearly not the "achievements" that Moscow would like to see. And this is against the backdrop of risks for other border regions of Russia and increased attacks by Ukrainian UAVs capable of reaching even the Arctic!

This state of affairs is caused by the miscalculations of the top military and political leadership of the Russian Federation. The generals did not calculate scenarios for the invasion's collapse; therefore, the situation became possible when the war spread to Russian territory. Firstly, since the times of the USSR, no military lines and fortified lines were erected in the border of the former RSFSR, this was considered the deep rear, which Ukraine covered. Secondly, the Prigozhin rebellion showed that it is possible to crash deep into Russian territory with rather small forces, like a knife through butter. Thirdly, there is a possibility of a conspiracy among the current generals against Putin, since there is a great fear of arrests after the removal of Shoigu. Very active military reporters are actively promoting the story of the theft of 11 trillion rubles by the team of the ex-Minister of Defence, which led to the disaster. Obviously, nervousness reigns among people with large epaulets, because at any time they can be visited by Chekists and turned into a scapegoat. Especially the military is annoyed by Putin's bet on the Caucasians, and ingratiation with Kadyrov, who tries on the role of a personal praetorian of an illegitimate president.

Not having confidence in his military, Putin goes into the mode of personal command of military operations on the Kursk front, like Tsar Nicholas II in 1916 during the First World War. Knowing about the minimal idea of a "great tactician" in matters of military strategy, one should expect either something very disastrous or extremely sinister. Rumors circulate about a prolonged pause precisely because of the preparation of an asymmetric strike against the AFU. How it will look is not yet clear, but sharp movements can cost Putin dearly, because they will lead to the lifting of restrictions on the use of Western weapons. Missile attacks on Moscow and the Moscow region can have the most undesirable consequences for the Kremlin.

Human losses, measured at more than 600,000 personnel or 67% of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, play a role. At the same time, there have been no improvements in terms of the security of the Russian territory, or rather, on the contrary, every day of the war worsens the atmosphere of security in and around Russia. The abyss of unbelief is resolutely only growing.

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