The Economist Has Calculated Putin's Huge Losses In The War

The publication processed data from more than 200 different sources.

The offensive in Ukraine in the spring of 2025, which was arranged by Russian dictator Putin, brought Russia huge losses. At least 100,000 Russians have been eliminated by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but Russia has captured 0.4% of Ukrainian territory.

This was reported by RBC-Ukraine with reference to The Economist.

The publication processed data from more than 200 different sources, including government estimates and non-governmental independent research. From the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022 until January 2025, Russia is estimated to have lost 640,000-877,000 live forces, among them 137,000-228,000 eliminated.

But from January 1 to October 13, 2025, Russia's losses rose by nearly 60 percent. They now amount to at least 984,000-1438,000 live forces, including 190,000 to 480,000 eliminated.

Tiny successes for a big price

At the same time, the sharp increase in Russian losses has not led to an acceleration of the seizure of Ukrainian territory. Since the stabilization of the front line after October 2022, it has remained virtually unchanged.

The publication calculates that if the pace of Russian "successes" continues, the Kremlin will be able to finally occupy Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions no sooner than June 2030, and the full occupation of Ukraine will take 103 years.

Since May, the Russians have managed to occupy only 0.4% of Ukrainian territory. Key cities in the Donetsk region - Pokrovsk, and others - are controlled by Ukrainian forces. At the same time, Ukraine has suffered significantly fewer losses - even in the most skeptical scenario, it could be a one-to-five ratio.

The AFU will not crash

We should not expect a sudden collapse of Ukrainian defenses, the publication notes. A large number of drones and precision weapons make the collapse of the front virtually impossible.

It is likely that Russia will have to continue its slow offensive, generously spilling blood for tiny scraps of land. But it will be extremely difficult for the Russians to break through the prepared defenses. Even if they do, the drones will blow to pieces any large forces of infantry and equipment pulled in to develop a breakthrough.

Replenishment Problems

If Russia continues to suffer such losses, replenishing its armies will be an even more serious problem for it than it is for Ukraine. For now, the Kremlin is able to lure tens of thousands of soldiers to war with generous payments. However, heavy losses in the summer of 2025 have destroyed the numerical advantage of Russian troops in Ukraine.

Some 0.5 to 1.2 percent of the prewar population of Russian men under the age of 60 have already been wiped out in the war, according to the magazine. The Russians have also lost tens of thousands of tanks, thousands of MLRS systems, and hundreds of airplanes and helicopters. Most of this will not be compensated for quickly.

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