"Putin Is Running Out Of Time."
1- 28.12.2025, 9:00
- 9,670
A critical "window" is opening.
American studies professor Scott Lucas suggested on Channel 24 that a critical window is opening for Putin in the coming months. He explained why it is until next spring that Moscow will try to ramp up the pressure.
Lucas noted that the Russian economy is already operating under constant pressure. Oil and gas revenues have fallen significantly, economic growth has actually stopped, and the real inflation rate has reached 20 to 25 percent, according to indirect estimates. Resource shortages are appearing in a number of regions, and funding for social and military obligations is becoming more difficult.
"Russia's economy is under serious pressure, but we should not expect it to just suddenly collapse and that will automatically stop the war," Lucas explained.
He noted that the problem is not an instant collapse, but a gradual depletion of resources. As Russia's deficit grows, it becomes increasingly difficult to maintain funding for the army, equipment and military logistics, especially in the face of sanctions and strikes deep into its territory.
"It is the combination of sanctions and Ukrainian strikes on its rear facilities that is tightening the vise around Moscow," the professor noted.
Lukas pointed out that the current stage of the war is a temporarily limited one for the Kremlin. According to him, the Russian leadership realizes that resources are not unlimited, so it is trying to act more aggressively now.
"We are talking about a critical window of about six months. Putin needs to break Ukraine before next spring. If that doesn't happen, there will be a question of whether he can continue to wage war in terms of men, equipment and finances," he said.
Russia will step up attacks, particularly on energy infrastructure, and try to press on the front lines, even if it doesn't bring a strategic breakthrough. Such tactics should compensate for the loss of time and resources, as well as create the illusion of strength.
The professor noted that despite all the difficulties, Ukraine retains the key thing - the stability of the state and society. This, he said, is what prevented Russia from realizing its initial plans and remains the main factor of resistance.
"The resilience of the Ukrainian people cannot be compared to anything, I have not seen anything like it in my life," Lucas concluded.
He emphasized that in almost four years of full-scale war, Ukraine has not broken down, the government continues to work, and society resists even in the face of constant pressure. This makes Russian calculations increasingly risky and less predictable.