Lukashenko Put On A Cheap Show With "Oreshnik"?
19- 31.12.2025, 9:28
- 12,710
A missile complex in Belarus found itself without a launcher.
A public demonstration of the deployment of Russia's Oreshnik missile system in Belarus turned out to be limited and does not confirm a full-fledged combat deployment, despite loud claims of its deployment.
This was reported by DEFENSE EXPRESS.
The ostensible deployment without a key element
Belarus officially announced the deployment of the first Oreshnik missile system with an intermediate-range ballistic missile, but the released footage does not confirm the system's readiness for combat missions.
The video shows the ceremony with the participation of some elements of the complex, but without demonstrating the main component - a self-propelled launcher with a missile.
Limited equipment and personnel
The camera caught only three vehicles: an armored security vehicle, a communications vehicle and support equipment. At the same time, the number of personnel present at the formation was about 70 people, which does not correspond to the staff structure of even one full-fledged missile complex, which should include several launchers, a command post, an extensive communication system and logistics facilities.
No confirmation of combat duty
This configuration indicates that the actual deployment of a combat-ready complex on the territory of Belarus at the moment, most likely, there is no.
At the same time, this does not rule out the gradual formation of a unit of the Russian Strategic Missile Forces with the prospect of receiving missiles and becoming combat-ready in 2026 or later.
Analogies with other missile systems
The composition of the demonstrated equipment deserves special attention. The convoy was accompanied by an armored security vehicle based on Ural-63095 "Typhoon-U", followed by a vehicle that presumably performs the functions of a command post or ensuring combat duty.
The movement was closed by a communications vehicle, which was then deployed in place. All these elements visually and functionally coincide with the equipment used as part of the "Yars" complex.
The origin of the "Oreshnik"
The complete similarity of support vehicles strengthens the version that the medium-range missile "Oreshnik" is based on the "Yars" through design changes, probably by eliminating one of the stages.
A similar approach has been used previously in the creation of the RSD-10 Pioneer, developed on the basis of the Temp-2S, which later evolved into the Topol and then the Yars.
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