Russia Prepares For Oil Shock

The price could fall as low as $40 a barrel.

World oil prices may fall to 40-50 dollars per barrel already in late 2025 - early 2026.

This is reported by "RBC-Ukraine" with reference to the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine.

According to the intelligence service, a barrel now costs 66-68 dollars, but the market is already experiencing a new price war, which threatens to further fall in quotations.

The main driver of the decline was the collapse of OPEC+ agreements. Saudi Arabia significantly increases production, creating an oversupply on the market.

Simultaneously, shale oil exporters, despite low prices, increase drilling and production, increasing pressure on the market.

Additional risks for prices are created by the slowdown in the economy of China - one of the main consumers of oil.

In addition, the increase in exports of raw materials from Brazil, Guyana and Norway only increases the oversupply.

In contrast to previous years, geopolitical risks have almost no effect on oil quotations, which indicates the formation of a new balance of supply and demand.

If the trend continues, the Russian fund predicts a "shock" oil price in the range of 40-50 dollars per barrel, which will significantly affect the world economies and the budgets of exporting countries.

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