Karbalevich: Lukashenko Is Watching The Departing Train

The ruler's plan failed.

Lukashenko hoped Minsk would become a platform for talks on Ukraine. However, on August 15, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian dictator Putin will meet in Alaska, writes political scientist Valery Karbalevich for "Pozirka":

- If Lukashenko managed to find himself in the role of mediator, he would get a lot of dividends in one fell swoop. First of all, he would be in the center of events that the whole world is looking at.

It would mean a way out of isolation, international recognition, a return to the conditional 2015, when Lukashenko "carried buckets of coffee" to the leaders of Germany, France, Russia, and Ukraine.

Minsk-3, the new "Minsk agreements" would once again turn the Belarusian capital into a center of international peacemaking. And Lukashenko would move from the status of a co-aggressor to the role of a peacemaker.

Besides symbolic capital, official Minsk would receive concrete economic dividends. The lifting of sanctions on Belarus would follow the lifting of sanctions on Russia.

The junior ally would once again do Moscow a favor. That would mean increasing its political weight in its policy. Like after the Prigozhin rebellion. With all the resulting economic benefits.

Well, and Lukashenko would be in the focus of Trump's attention. This is what the leaders of all countries are striving for today.

But Lukashenko, as Karbalevich writes, was late, he did not have time:

- The American and Russian leaders are meeting in Alaska. Ukrainian and EU leaders are trying to get involved in the process, Brussels is convening an urgent meeting of EU foreign ministers.

And Minsk remains standing on the platform, watching the departing train. In any case, the current stage of the negotiation process is taking place without Lukashenko.

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