12 January 2026, Monday, 10:17
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Iran's Revolution Will Change The World

Iran's Revolution Will Change The World

Russia will lose its third ally in a row.

Mass demonstrations in Iran, which began amid a currency crisis and economic collapse, have turned into large-scale protests demanding regime change. Hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets across the country, from Tehran to dozens of other cities. The authorities have responded with harsh repression: according to sources, more than 500 protesters have died, and about 10,000 people have been arrested.

The regime of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is trying to suppress the protests by blocking internet and cell phone service, but the protest movement continues to expand. U.S. President Donald Trump has openly supported the demonstrators and threatened military strikes if the killing of civilians continues, Bloomberg reported.

The fall of the Islamic Republic could be the most significant geopolitical shift since the 1979 revolution. Among the possible consequences, analysts highlight:

Russia's loss of its third consecutive ally, following the overthrow of Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela and Bashar al-Assad in Syria;

a radical shift in the balance of power in the Middle East;

increased uncertainty for Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which fear regional chaos in an Arab Spring scenario and prefer to maintain the status quo with the "known devil."

Financial markets also promptly reacted to the event. Brent crude prices rose amid risks to production in Khuzestan province, Iran's key oil-producing region. In parallel, the son of the last Shah of Iran, Reza Pahlavi, called on oil workers to strike, similar to the events of 1978.

According to observers, Trump, encouraged by the operation in Venezuela and strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, may try to use the situation for regime change in Tehran, despite the threat of a power vacuum - following the example of Iraq after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein. At the same time, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is trying to reduce tensions by offering dialog, but protesters do not trust these promises.

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