"Putin Will Be Toppled From His Pedestal."

The worst-case scenario of the peace plan for the Russian Federation is named.

For the first time in years, there are real grounds for cautious optimism, and 2026 could bring Ukraine a just and lasting peace. This is according to The Telegraph columnist Hamish de Bretton-Gordon.

The analyst notes that Donald Trump's claims that the peace agreement on Ukraine is 95 percent ready clearly caused panic in Moscow, which manifested itself in the usual Kremlin manner: gross misinformation and implausible narratives. The claim that one of Putin's many palaces was attacked by 91 drones this week was a prime example.

"The CIA has informed the president of the United States that this was almost certainly a false flag operation. It is a clumsy and unambiguous attempt to derail a peace process that is rapidly spiraling out of the Kremlin's control. Even more damaging to Putin is that his own population is beginning to doubt this version of events. When propaganda collapses domestically, regimes soon follow," notes Bretton-Gordon.

While Putin realizes that his only remaining leverage is to drive a wedge between Trump and Zelensky. But Trump is noticeably less susceptible to the Kremlin's manipulations today than he was a few weeks ago. And it is leading the White House toward a peace that, while not ideal for Ukraine, is far worse for Moscow.

According to the columnist, it is crucial that the 15-year U.S.-NATO security guarantees actually represent NATO's defense. Even more troubling for the Kremlin is Trump's open discussion of the presence of Western troops in Ukraine:

"This is the worst-case scenario for Putin. No amount of manipulation, even at the peak of the Kremlin propaganda machine, could disguise such an outcome as anything other than defeat."

The economic consequences for Russia are just as clear

With the front lines frozen, it is Trump, not Putin, who will negotiate with Kiev over access to rare earth minerals in the Donbass. If we add to this the growing likelihood of reparations, as well as the possible seizure of $200 billion worth of frozen Russian assets, the Russian economy, already in free fall, looks increasingly unstable, the analyst said.

Two other factors will put strong pressure in Washington's favor. First, Russia now realizes that its army cannot stand up to NATO, even without the United States. Second, with oil prices falling below $60 a barrel, the financial fuel supporting the Russian war machine is rapidly evaporating. Without revenue, the weapons fall silent.

"The CIA has effectively deprived the president of the ability to see through the Kremlin's deception. Now Trump has Putin firmly by the throat," Bretton-Gordon emphasizes.

"Concerns about nuclear escalation remain, but the Kremlin's conventional nuclear threats have all but disappeared in recent weeks, and this is no coincidence - Moscow realizes that rattling nuclear weapons no longer scares European leaders, the analyst stresses.

"For the first time in years, there are real grounds for cautious optimism. If Trump keeps up the pressure on Putin and European NATO countries continue to rebuild real military power - the only language the Kremlin respects - then 2026 could bring a just and lasting peace to Ukraine," he believes." he says.

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