Three Scenarios For Venezuela After Maduro's Disappearance Named
18- 3.01.2026, 19:47
- 24,468
From peaceful transit of power to military coup.
What happens next in Venezuela is far from clear. The country's constitution stipulates that power must pass to dictator Nicolas Maduro's vice president, Delcy Rodriguez.
Rodriguez said the government does not know where the president is, nor does the first lady Cilia Flores.
The future of the regime is in doubt, and the opposition - both at home and abroad - is likely to see this moment as a critical opportunity.
The Venezuelan opposition says exiled politician Edmundo Gonzalez is the legitimate president.
CNN outlines three possible scenarios.
The constitutional path is to invoke Article 233. In the case of a so-called "absolute absence" of the president, the executive vice president - Delcy Rodriguez - takes over and declares an election within 30 days. The newly elected president then takes office for a full six-year term.
Regime collapse, in which its top representatives resign or flee the country. The most likely opposition candidate is Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia, running in the 2024 elections. González, a scholar and experienced diplomat, is currently in exile in Spain. He is supported by recent Nobel Peace Prize winner and democratic activist Maria Corina Machado. Speaking in Oslo last month after receiving the prize, Machado said her movement was preparing for an "orderly and peaceful transition" of power after Maduro's departure. She said in December that Gonzalez had offered her the vice presidency and that the "vast majority" of the police and armed forces would obey orders from the new administration once the political transition begins.
Military coup. The acting defense minister - Vladimir Padrino Lopez - spoke out after the U.S. strikes early Saturday morning, saying Venezuela would resist the presence of foreign troops on its territory. "This invasion represents the most serious insult the country has ever suffered," he added.
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