Defense Express: Moscow Has Fallen Into A Historical Trap
4- 8.02.2026, 12:01
- 5,310
A new nuclear race between Russia and the United States could play into Ukraine's hands.
The termination of the START-III treaty between Russia and the United States removes the last formal restrictions on the number of nuclear warheads and their carriers. Despite the obvious risks to global stability, there are certain tactical benefits for Ukraine in this situation.
The main plus for Ukraine lies in the enormous cost of nuclear parity. The Defense Express writes about it.
Economic pressure
The United States has set aside almost $1 trillion over the next decade to modernize its arsenal (about 10% of the defense budget). In Russia, spending on the "nuclear shield" also eats up a huge share of the budget. By comparison, France spends 14% of its defense budget on its nuclear forces. Without START-III restrictions, Moscow will have to spend even more.
The benefit for Ukraine is that every ruble invested in the development of another Poseidon or a new intercontinental ballistic missile is a ruble not spent on tanks, shells and manpower that directly threaten Ukraine. In addition, an unlimited arms race inevitably hits the Russian civilian economy, increasing internal tensions.
Historical Trap
Experts see what is happening as a repeat of the Cold War scenario that led to the collapse of the USSR. The US may deliberately draw Moscow into an arms race, which the latter cannot economically pull.
The Pentagon is already working on the Golden Dome missile defense program, and the US is also discussing an increase in the military budget to $1.5 trillion, which would make the financial gap between Washington and Moscow insurmountable.
Experts believe that the chances of signing a new agreement are virtually nil because of the contradictions between the parties. In particular, the US demands China's participation, and the Russian Federation in turn wants to limit the arsenals of France and Britain.
In the long run, this could drag India, Pakistan, DPRK and Israel into the dispute, making any arms control impossible. In this situation, for Ukraine, the nuclear race is a de facto "second front" that drains the Russian military machine from within, forcing the Kremlin to choose between strategic ambitions and real fighting on the ground.
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