Intelligence: Pressure On Putin Is Growing In The Kremlin

Time is not working in favor of the head of the Russian Federation.

European intelligence records increasing pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin amid losses on the frontline and the deteriorating economic situation in the country. According to analysts, the Kremlin is increasingly facing constraints both on the battlefield and within the state.

In the coming months, this could significantly affect Moscow's ability to negotiate from a position of strength. This is according to CNN.

The head of Estonian intelligence Kaupo Rozin said Putin has little time left to achieve victory in the war against Ukraine. He said that already within the next four to five months, the Russian leader "may not be able to negotiate from a position of strength."

Rozin said that a combination of military, economic and social factors is making the Kremlin's position increasingly difficult.

"Time is not on Russia's side," he emphasized.

The situation on the frontline for the Russian army remains difficult, according to intelligence estimates.

"I no longer hear talk of complete victory. People in the Kremlin realize that the situation on the Ukrainian battlefield is not going too well," Rozin said.

He added that Russia's losses exceed its ability to replenish them.

Analysts also draw attention to the pace of Russian troop advances, which remain minimal. Over the previous two years, they averaged about 70 meters per day, with daily losses reaching about a thousand killed and wounded. Recently, even such limited advances have virtually come to naught.

According to US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the Russian army is losing between 15,000 and 20,000 military personnel killed every month. At the same time, the Ukrainian side reports that Russian losses can reach tens of thousands of killed and seriously wounded in one month alone. It is still impossible to verify these data independently, as both sides do not disclose official statistics.

Drones play a significant role in the war and have become the main cause of losses. According to Rozin's assessment, it is the development of drone technology that limits the possibility of large-scale breakthroughs on the front.

"Both sides are unable to carry out a massive mechanized breakthrough deep behind enemy lines," he explained.

At the same time, Ukraine claims success in countering Russian drone attacks. According to Digital Transformation Minister Mikhail Fedorov, "the share of Shahed drones shot down by interceptors has doubled over the past four months."

Separate intelligence attention is paid to the possibility of a new mobilization in Russia. Rozin believes that in order to intensify the offensive, the Kremlin would have to resort to forcibly recruiting additional hundreds of thousands of people. At the same time, such a move carries serious risks for domestic stability.

"They are very concerned about domestic stability and are watching it closely ... This is not a decision they will make easily," he said.

The previous wave of mobilization in 2022 sparked protests and a mass exodus of men abroad.

The economic situation is also deteriorating. Russia has lowered its economic growth forecast from 1.3% to 0.4%. Among the reasons are labor shortages, high government spending and the impact of sanctions. In addition, Ukraine is hitting Russia's oil infrastructure, causing billions of dollars in losses.

Rozin emphasized that the war is increasingly being felt inside Russia as well, commenting on drone attacks deep inside the country.

Despite this, it remains unclear whether these factors directly influence Putin's decision.

"The Ukrainian issue is so ideologically colored for him that it will be difficult to change his mind," the intelligence chief said.

He also suggested that even without significant military successes, Russia will continue to pressure Ukraine, particularly through infrastructure strikes.

"They will try to make the next winter at least as harsh for Ukrainians," Rozin said.

At the same time, tensions are rising inside Russia. Security measures around the country's leadership are being tightened, and the return of the military from the front is causing social problems - rising crime, violence and psychological instability.

Despite this, intelligence does not see preconditions for mass protests in the near future.

"I really don't see a street revolution at this stage, but sometimes such systems are very fragile, and if something happens - it will be sudden," Rozin concluded.

You can support the website Charter97.org

MULTI-CURRENCY ACCOUNT FOR ASSISTANCE:

Bank's name: Bank Millennium S.A.
Address: ul. Stanislawa Zaryna, 2A, 02-593, Warszawa
IBAN: PL97116022020000000216711123
SWIFT: BIGBPLPW
Name of the account holder: Fundacja “KARTA ‘97”
Purpose/title of payment: Donation for statuary aims

You can contact us by the e-mail charter97@gmail.com