"Lukashenko Is Probing Lithuania."

What's behind the balloon provocations.

Lithuania announced the indefinite closure of the border with Belarus after a series of incidents with meteoprobes, which have already suspended the work of Vilnius airport several times.

What could be behind these meteoprobes, which massively cross the border and disrupt the work of Lithuanian airports? Can we talk about a new form of hybrid attack?

About this, Charter97.org asked Maksim Pleshko, candidate of philosophical sciences, head of the Ukrainian Center for Belarusian Communications:

- What is happening is hardly accidental. It is a purposeful operation of hybrid pressure. Under the guise of "weather probes," cheap unmanned platforms equipped with both smuggling containers and sensors, GPS modules can be launched. Some of them appear to be used to test air defense systems, aviation reactions, and to practice radar avoidance routes. This is a classic "probing" tactic - provocation without direct responsibility.

Yes, this is a new form of attack and quite effective. In modern conditions, even a few dozen of such objects can paralyze air traffic, cause information resonance and political pressure. This is an "asymmetric" attack - cheap, but creating the effect of systemic destabilization - a kind of "air sabotage".

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