Breakthrough Of Southern Front: AFU Preparing To Strike Against Russians’ Most Important Point In Crimea

The Ukrainian army has created a new operational situation in the south.

The Russian army cannot feel safe on the Crimean peninsula.

“I think the strikes on Dzhankoy will continue,” Ukrainian military expert Serhiy Zgurets writes in an article on the Espresso website.

There is the most important point for the enemy — a significant amount of artillery and equipment is being accumulated. In Sovetske, personnel were destroyed. We don't know what weapons we use.

“I think that the restrictions on the number of these weapons also affect the rate of destruction of the enemy in the Crimea,” the expert notes.

AFU forming battlefield in the South

For a week in the South, strikes were made on 10 enemy targets. All of them relate to the logistic route from Volnovakha to Melitopol. The attacks on Melitopol, where 200 invaders were destroyed, are indicative. There, they liquidated part of the leadership of the 58th Army, which is responsible for conducting operations on this sector of the front. In Berdyansk, personnel and an ammunition depot were destroyed. These strikes are the forerunner of further offensive actions and the formation of the battlefield through the rarefaction of the leadership and logistics structures. On the right bank of the Dnieper, this process lasted up to three months.

“I think in this case the dynamics will continue, but whether it will be directly related to the offensive that Zaluzny talks about in an interview, I would not run ahead. He talks about the need for 300 tanks — this is half of what all the European armies of the world have at the moment. The issue of reserves is now coming to the fore. And it was a transparent hint to the partners,” Serhiy Zgurets notes.

It will be very difficult for the Russians to fight on the streets of Bakhmut

“When we talk about the front line from Yakovlivka to Kurdyumivka, it is extremely active and there are intense battles on every sector,” writes a military expert.

In the north (Yakovlivka), the enemy is trying to gain a foothold, and they managed to do it, but the Armed Forces of Ukraine pushed them back and they are trying to go there again. The enemy is trying to attack Soledar, there are attempts to advance between Klishchievka and Opytne in order to circle Bakhmut from the west. All these dynamics are not extremely complex. This front line is held despite the fact that the enemy is trying to concentrate a significant amount of artillery and personnel on a narrow sector of the front. The rotation of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has occurred. In the 200 days during which the enemy's active offensive operations are being carried out, they have advanced only a certain distance in kilometers.

In the area of Bakhmut itself, the enemy is trying to attack from the east — they are moving along the highway, but this is within one kilometer. Enemy attempts to reach suburban developments — battles are being fought there and our troops are repelling the offensive. The Russians destroyed the bridge that provided communication from Soledar. Bakhmut is reliably secured from the west, there is no reason to worry about a complete encirclement of the city. It will be very difficult for the Russians to fight in suburban buildings. There are all the prerequisites for such buildings to become a meat grinder for the enemy. The enemy has no forces to capture the city, cover it, and move further.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have gains in the Luhansk region

This week in the Luhansk region was difficult — due to bad weather everything turned into mud. But before that, there were several frosty days — actions were taken in the direction of an attempt to surround Svatove and expand the gray zone near Kreminna. Dibrova is one of the settlements that provides access to the Chervona River, which divides Kreminna in half. Further, this will allow an operation to cordon off Kreminna. The enemy drove a significant number of personnel to the entire section of Svatove-Kreminna. Now the dynamics has slowed down somewhat due to the Russian forces and the weather. As soon as it freezes a little, perhaps this will be one of the important directions that General Zaluzny hints at when he talks about creating conditions for an offensive.

A new blow to Belarus will not come as a surprise

The threat of an offensive from Belarus to Kyiv or in the direction of Lviv is discussed one way or another at the expert level. The leadership of the General Staff says that there are still no prerequisites for creating an offensive grouping, although the dynamics are quite alarming. Even General Zaluzhny says that he does not rule out an attack on Kyiv.

“We understand that this is the use of the potential that will be gradually formed in Belarus. Now the actions of Belarus are so predictable that it will not come as a surprise, as in February. This time, both Lukashenka and the Belarusian army will receive a significant blow from our side in order to repel any desire to use their territory to encroach on Ukraine. The territory of this country was used by the aggressor, Belarusian instructors are training Russians, and strikes are being made on our territory from the territory of Belarus. This requires retaliatory action,” Serhiy Zgurets states.