‘Belarusian Authorities Should Start Fearing’

A bomb was planted under the stop valve of the regime.

The Telegram channel “Letters to Daughter” writes about the dangers of the deployment of nuclear weapons for the Belarusian regime.

“As the ground intervention went according to plan and the prospect of a negative offensive towards Crimea loomed ahead, the Russian authorities decided to strike the enemy where they could do it best. Verbal interventions in the virtual space.

Because in the virtual space of verbal interventions, the second-best army of the world has long since taken Kyiv in three days. And, since the stories about nuclear ashes no longer work, Putin announced that he would deploy tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus by the summer.

But a year of war has already developed immunity to verbal interventions in the West. Too often a senior ally has promised to turn the world into nuclear ashes. Whoever wanted to be afraid, were already afraid, and then they got tired of being afraid.

Therefore, for a special operation, the practical consequences will be about the same as threats to flood the UK. That is, zero.

But the Belarusian authorities, in my opinion, should start fearing. (Though they don't appear to have stopped fearing since 2020.) In the old, pre-war times, the presence of a nuclear bomb within walking distance could, of course, provide the Belarusian authorities with reliable security guarantees. Because in pre-war times, the West was in a state of joyful lethargy and preferred not to take risks, but to look for compromises.

But the allies did everything this year to wake it up. And in this new reality, nuclear weapons actually create only new risks for the Belarusian authorities. Because the West has finally learned that negotiating with allies is a completely useless exercise. Therefore, the prospect of deploying a nuclear bomb in Belarus will not be a reason to look for compromises, but may become an incentive to find ways to eliminate the threat.

At least for the closest Belarusian neighbors. Here the Belarusian TV, not even having received a bomb in its hands, has already threatened to melt Warsaw and flood Vilnius. So I suspect that Warsaw and Vilnius might be tempted to do something proactive to take care of their own safety.

And, of course, the deployment of nuclear weapons greatly reduces the chances of the Belarusian authorities to agree on something separately with the West when the older ally's armored train goes downhill. Now, if suddenly a younger ally is tempted to pull the stop valve and get off halfway, now a bomb has been planted under this stop valve.”