Gerasimov's Big Offensive Bogging Down In Ukraine

Russian generals have tried to carry it out along the lines of the First World War.

The Russian army, having launched a big offensive, wanted to repeat the Brusilov breakthrough in Ukraine, but failed to do so.

Russian historian and politician Dmitry Chernyshevsky said this on his YouTube video blog.

"Good news from Ukraine. Apparently, the Russian offensive is bogging or has already bogged down... The grouping amassed for the offensive has already been thrown into action. The effect is zero, they have not been able to break through the Ukrainians' defenses in any direction. The Russians attack by inertia, they do not understand why they need it," said the historian.

Thus, in his words, the Russian attempt to carry out a pincer movement near the Ukrainian town of Bakhmut has failed. The occupiers' progress in this area was sharply hindered.

The occupiers had a big disaster near Vuhledar: the 155th brigade of the Pacific Fleet Marines was destroyed in a frontal assault there. The Russian Armed Forces' march from Kreminna towards Kupyansk was also unsuccessful.

On the whole, Chernyshevsky noted, Russian generals in Ukraine are waging war along the patterns of World War I.

During the big offensive, they tried to repeat the Brusilov breakthrough, that is, they attacked on a broad front to expose the enemy's weaknesses. It didn't work.

"Gerasimov planned the Brusilov offensive: he attacked in seven directions to disorient the Ukrainian command, to disperse the Ukrainian reserves, and then, having found a weak spot, to throw all the forces there to break through... and to crush the entire front. Brusilov succeeded, but Gerasimov did not, because the Ukrainian front was not broken through in any place, and the Russian reserves are already exhausted. And that is it, the offensive is bogging down. If this is confirmed in the near future, it will be Ukraine's biggest success in the battle of attrition," Chernyshevsky said.

He suspects that due to the failure of the Russian offensive, Ukraine may accelerate its spring counteroffensive. It could take place as early as mid-March.

"After the culmination of the Russian offensive, a pullback will follow. It will be the right time to launch a counter-offensive... There may be the first act of a Ukrainian counter-offensive even before the spring thaw," the Russian historian said.