Important Evidence
- Leonid Nevzlin
- 5.05.2026, 7:41
- 5,982
That Putin fears an assassination attempt is an obvious fact.
The high-profile material based on a report by a European intelligence agency on the situation in Russia and the almost coup preparation is certainly an important piece of evidence. It is a professionally written document, apparently based on information from high-level sources. However, there are several important caveats that should be taken into account when analyzing what is stated.
The fact that Putin is afraid of an assassination attempt (whoever in his situation is not afraid) and is really concerned about Ukrainian drones is an obvious fact. Suffice it to recall the story about drones allegedly flying near the Valdai residence and the hysteria that followed. As for the bunkers in the Krasnodar region, military control facilities are concentrated there, where Putin goes to supervise his associates.
As for the information about the "coup," things are a bit more complicated. First of all, European intelligence sources do not "hang in the air," but belong to one or another group of influence in Moscow. Second, it should be taken into account that Shoigu, whom the report calls almost a potential plot organizer, is a foreign body in Putin's "power" environment, which includes Medvedev, Naryshkin, Bortnikov, and others.
This environment has traditionally not been very favorable to Shoigu, including because of his role in launching the adventure with a full-scale war against Ukraine and the way the war was conducted. And, last but not least, because of the way Shoigu and his family made money out of it, investing not in occupied Luhansk or Melitopol, but in commercial real estate in Moscow.
Although Shoigu remains Putin's personal friend. Those who closely watched their joint trips to Siberia could note Putin's interest in Buddhist practices, his attention to Altai and Tuvan witch doctors, and a number of other characteristic details.
It is worth noting separately that European intelligence sources often become more vocal on the eve of any significant elections in Russia, such as the Duma elections. It is possible that such leaks may be used by the Kremlin itself as a way of testing the loyalty of its entourage by throwing in information about the allegedly deteriorating state of affairs. Considerable resources are invested in the war, but the front has remained static for several years. In a situation where the aggressor does not achieve victory, in the eyes of many, the defending side wins. This irritates the so-called "zetniks", "war correspondents" and other bloodthirsty public, whose discontent needs to be channeled to prevent them from uniting into a single force. Prigozhin's speech has already been attempted, and the Kremlin has a lot to remember on this topic.
Leonid Nevzlin, Telegram
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