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Sobyanin Predicted Russia's Collapse

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Sobyanin Predicted Russia's Collapse
Sergey Sobyanin

In the event of a transition to a “war economy.”

Translation the Russian economy onto a military track would be tantamount to “killing” the country, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said in an interview with TASS on Wednesday.

According to him, proposals to introduce a “war economy”—which have been circulating for several years and were recently raised again by State Duma deputy Andrei Kolesnik—are “worthless.”

“If there is no economy of peacetime life, there will be no taxes, no income for the population, and the political situation will be completely different—and we will not succeed in the war. And to destroy life, to destroy a normal economy—that is to destroy the country altogether. That’s why this is such unnecessary, worthless talk from people who don’t understand how a modern economy or modern warfare works,” Sobyanin said.

Rumors of a possible shift to a mobilization economy—with the introduction of additional restrictions on citizens and businesses—intensified again in the spring when the head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina unexpectedly disappeared from the public eye, writes The Moscow Times.

She skipped the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and, according to sources cited by “The Moscow Times,” offered to resign due to alleged plans to impose martial law in the country, close the borders, and tighten state control over the economy.

At the same time, rumors surfaced about the resignation of Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, which was a direct reflection of “the elites’ nervousness regarding the state of the economy,” wrote political analyst Ilya Graschenkov: Fears arose of a change in government with a mandate for a new economic system—a de facto State Planning Committee, a military-order economy, manual resource allocation, and a priority on industrial mobilization.

Economic mobilization, in this context, could be accompanied by military mobilization—that is, the resumption of compulsory conscription of Russians to the front, according to experts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Sources at The Washington Post and The Wall Street Journal, citing European and American officials, as well as sources close to major companies and regional leadership interviewed by “Vazhnye Istorii” and “Verska,” have reported on a possible mobilization this fall, following the State Duma elections.

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