Boryslav Bereza: Russians May Take Their Carricks And Give Up Fighting For Their Tsar
8- 24.10.2023, 16:30
- 25,790
The Empire will collapse when the front collapses.
The unsuccessful attack on the Ukrainian village of Avdiivka on October 19 was one of the largest defeats for the Russian army in the current war. The next morning, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported record losses of the Russian Armed Forces on that day near Andriivka mostly.
What is happening now on this sector of the front? Charter97.org journalists talked about this with Ukrainian politician, former member of the Verkhovna Rada Boryslav Bereza:
– After the first massive Russian assault on our positions was repulsed, fighting continues, but it’s not as intense as it was before, although the Russians still use a large number of armoured vehicles and manpower. One feels that they are demoralized and, most likely, they face problems with additional forces. Therefore, there is no such massive offensive as there was on the first day, but attacks continue every day, and they launch “meat” assaults every day.
The number of Russians and armoured vehicles destroyed there has decreased somewhat, this can be seen from the reports by the General Staff. At the same time, we see that this number is quite large. Therefore, it can be argued that it is extremely important for the Russians to continue attacks on Avdiivka, so they are doing so.
The invaders are using new tactics today, for example, digging “mole tunnels” in order, on the one hand, to hide from our artillery and move forward, and on the other, to try to dive as close as possible to our positions. This is reminiscent, by the way, of what Hamas terrorists do when they dig tunnels into Israeli territory in order to get there undetected.
– Is Avdiivka another fetish of Putin, as was the case with Bakhmut? Or is there a rational point in this desire to take this settlement at any cost?
– Firstly, Avdiivka has been annoying Russians for quite a long time, it is the gateway to Donetsk, it is a claw that opens up the possibility of an attack on the temporarily occupied city. Sooner or later, our troops will enter Donetsk through Avdiivka, so minimizing the threat is important for the Russians. On the other hand, they lose a full-fledged brigade when taking a single position. I can’t imagine which army in the world would agree to such a price.
Moreover, from a rational perspective, Avdiivka, like Bakhmut, are not strategic “megacenters,” but this does not matter to Putin. The number of victims does not bother him. His only concern is that Russia has not had any victories for a long time. How much time has passed, and the war has turned from “Kyiv in three days” to the fact that they have not even been able to take Avdiivka for more than 20 months.
The Russians no longer consider encircled Bakhmut a victory. Moreover, if you count the tens of thousands of Russians who died for Bakhmut, then the expediency is generally incomprehensible. However, this “achievement” should not be assessed from the point of view of rationality. These are all small “SVOs” for Putin - “special military operation Bakhmut”, “special military operation Lisichansk”, “special military operation Mariupol”, “special military operation Avdiivka”.
It is important for Putin to then convey the Russians through his propagandists the message that this is an achievement, this is a victory, that Avdiivka is no less significant than London or Berlin. I have already heard several times how the Russians voice the thesis that by taking Avdiivka they will take Kyiv, supposedly it opens the gates to Kyiv. This is a very funny statement, absolutely idiotic, but it suits the Russians.
– Russians have again launched their crazy tactics sending their tanks one after another, as was the case near Vuhledar a year ago...
– I’ll interrupt you right away. In fact, we can’t say that they are advancing absolutely stupidly. They are moving in a so-called “herringbone pattern,” when a column of 5 to 30 armored vehicles approaches and moves to the right or left, and so on for each subsequent wave. Thus, the Russians are trying to shoot at our positions point-blank. Our troops smash them before they approach point-blank range.
They no longer march in columns, everything is not so easy. Moreover, the front is not as narrow as it was near Kyiv or Vuhledar when the columns were moving along a very narrow corridor. Now the front stretches for many kilometres, so the Russians are looking for a weak point to break through, but there are no weak points there. It is worth noting that for the Russians it is very important to create such tension so that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transfers reserves from the south, from Zaporizhzhia to this direction. Then this will actually stop the offensive on Zaporizhzhia, which for the Russians is already turning into a threatening area.
Therefore, they are not acting stupidly, they are acting indifferent to human lives, they are acting barbarically, and they are practicing “meat” assaults, but this should not be explained by stupidity. They are simply ready to sacrifice a fairly large amount of equipment and people, which they have in abundance, in the name of some of their goals.
– Russian GAZ-AA lorries have already been spotted near Avdiivka, trucks that were produced in the 30s in the USSR. Does the Russian Federation have a limit on the amount of vehicles?
– The problem is that this old thing can drive, pick up soldiers or shoot, even the T-50 is a rather threatening tank if it can shoot. Any tank, even the T-34, is terrible for an infantryman. Therefore, the most important thing is that they don’t care about efficiency, it’s important for them to use more vehicles there, any vehicles. But they will run out of it sooner or later, and then there'll be different options, even the collapses of the front line. Although the Russian front may collapse before that moment.
We remember that during the First World War, the Tsarist Russian Empire collapsed when the front collapsed. The soldiers realized that they had no need to die for the Tsar, took their carricks and went home. I think that sooner or later this could happen again here, which will help liberate Ukraine faster, minimize casualties and achieve maximum results.