Former Ukrainian Foreign Minister: Russians Feel Their End Is Near

11.11.2026, 18:59

That is exactly why they returned to the negotiating table.

Former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Volodymyr Ogryzko on the air Radio NV identified the main reason why the Kremlin agreed to negotiations in Abu Dhabi for the first time in nine months.

— Read about what has happened over the past week with Russian oil refining. Eight or nine out of 15–16 refineries are no longer operational. Today, a shipment arrived successfully at the port of Ust-Luga. This is one of the key ports on the Baltic Sea. We’re not even talking about the Black Sea anymore—no one wants to go there because the risks are enormous. And now—as I’ve said more than once—the focus is shifting to the Baltic Sea. A shipment just arrived at Ust-Luga.

I think tomorrow’s shipment will go to Primorsk—or perhaps to a third port there that’s less important, but all three of them play a key role in supporting Russian exports.

The former Ukrainian foreign minister urges people to read what the Russian Ministry of Finance is saying about the current state of the economy:

— After all, everyone can clearly see that the situation in the Russian economy continues to deteriorate. And at an extremely rapid pace.

You’re skeptical about what I’m saying because you believe this could happen all at once. No, such processes occur gradually, but they are inevitable.

And if we imagine that by the end of the month the Ukrainian Defense Forces will destroy another five or six oil refineries, and that by the end of the month the Ukrainian Defense Forces will destroy several more ports on the Baltic Sea, then a simple question will arise among those in Putin’s inner circle: What should we do next, dear Supreme Commander-in-Chief? We have nothing to fuel not only civilians’ cars, but also the vehicles of our “heroic” armed forces. We have nothing to heat our buildings with, since there is no fuel oil for thermal power plants and the like. Prices are rising, and people have no money. What should we do next?

And next—negotiations, the start of negotiations. In fact, that’s exactly what’s happening right now. And for me, this first round is—at the very least—a sign that Russia understands: we must finally find ways—albeit from our own, Russian side—to bring this process to an end, because things will only get worse from here.

And if Russia has now budgeted 200 billion for the war next year—even though the budget deficit is already around 70 billion and will only grow—that means they’re running out of money and have nowhere else to get it. And without money, there’s no way to wage war.

That’s exactly why negotiations are beginning—not because Russia is so kind, but because it senses that the end is near. That’s what this is all about.

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