"Lukashenko Is Finished."

What will the re-invasion of Ukraine from Belarus lead to?

Russian human rights activist Mark Feigin answers this question in a live Delfi.lt. The website Charter97.org quotes a snippet of the conversation:

"Lukashenko is in a very damaged position. If even Moscow instructs him to carry out an attack under the pretext of some provocation, nothing will save him at all, Lukashenko is finished, you understand, Lukashenko is finished. There is a binary situation here. Lukashenko can be used as a tool of Moscow to attack the Baltic States or Ukraine, but in both cases Lukashenko is finished, he's gone."

According to Mark Feigin, the topic of the recent telephone conversation between the French president and the Belarusian dictator was the consequences of Belarus' involvement in the war.

"Macron warned him about the consequences for him, Ukraine also warned him. Any attempt of attack, and he becomes the main target, he will be killed, and no one will be "steamed" about killing or not killing Lukashenko. Drones and missiles will fly directly at his residence, at everything, and there is no need for illusions. I am sure that Lukashenko is well aware that he will be dealt with, i.e. there will be no such thing, that he has nothing to do with it, just deal with Moscow.

While they will not reach Putin, they will reach Lukashenko, and from this point of view Ukraine will not make any fuss at all. Any crossing of the border by any troops - Russian, Belarusian - that's it, it's over, everybody plays by other rules, nobody tries to negotiate anything anymore, they just fight. What difference does it make for Ukraine - it fights this way and that way. What difference does it make to Ukraine that it has to fight in the north? I am convinced that very substantial forces are now deployed on the border with Belarus, and it will definitely not be just a stroll, but the consequences will not be such that they will drive the troops beyond the border of Ukraine and that's it, they will stop? No, then let's do it another way. Even if the AFU does not manage to reach Minsk, they will definitely bomb and shell the territory of Belarus.

There are several scenarios in connection with Belarus. The least probable one is a repeated invasion, the most probable one is an attempt to pull Ukrainian forces from Donbass, which means deployment of troops on the territory of Belarus. Zelensky warned: the deployment of troops will entail preventive strikes, which means that there will probably be strikes even if Belarus does not get involved in this war."

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