"Lukashenko Will Have To Be As Careful As Possible Even In His Expressions"
4- 29.05.2026, 15:03
- 5,524
The hunter turned into the prey and the prey turned into the hunter.
The other day the commander of the Unmanned Systems Force of the AFU Robert "Madyar" Brovdi warned Lukashenko that in case of aggression from Belarus, Ukraine has a prepared plan of 500 targets.
Which objects can be attacked first? The site Charter97.org talked about it with Ukrainian military and political observer of the group "Information Resistance" Alexander Kovalenko:
- It will be first of all the most "fat" target - Mozyr oil refinery. There are also logistics hubs, enterprises of the military-industrial complex and, of course, certain facilities that belong both to the facilities of the Belarusian army and where representatives of the Russian contingent are currently stationed.
These include representatives of the air defense forces, aviation specialists, REB specialists, radar specialists, communications specialists and so on.
These facilities are not secret, we are not living in the Middle Ages today. All these objects are coordinated, and the territory of Belarus itself is like an open book for Ukrainian drones. That is, we fly as far as Yekaterinburg, 2000 kilometers from the border with Ukraine. To overcome the whole territory of Belarus from south to north and back from north to south for drones with the ability to maneuver is not a problem at all.
That is why it is really a warning for dictator Lukashenko. Just recently, 2 weeks ago, everyone had the opportunity to see how Ukrainian drones broke through 3 rings of air defense in Moscow, in the Moscow region. Perhaps, the most echeloned and the most saturated air defense in the Russian Federation in general. And struck the relevant facilities. So I don't think that Minsk has better air defense than Moscow. And in general, that the airspace of Belarus is better protected than the Russian airspace.
There is one more very important point concerning the statement of "Madyar". The fact is that the Unmanned Systems Forces are currently engaged in the fact that they systematically, regularly take out air defense systems in the near rear area of the temporarily occupied territories and the territory of the Russian Federation. The forces of unmanned systems have organized a formal hunt for just air defense systems.
The hunter has turned into prey, and the prey has turned into the hunter. It is quite possible that strikes on Belarus may even be of this nature.
The demolition of Belarusian air defense, which again, I emphasize, is not so much. It is a rather limited resource. Belarus can very quickly, first of all, be left without an air defense system. Secondly, its airspace will really turn into a passing yard.
- What will be the consequences of the Ukrainian response for the Lukashenko regime and the balance of power in the region?
- Weakening, a reputational blow, of course. I will even say more, it will be a reputational humiliation not only for Lukashenko's regime, but also to some extent for the Russian Federation. Lukashenko should act very carefully for one simple reason.
Ukraine, unlike in 2022, will not behave as tolerant as possible towards Belarus now. Any aggressive outbursts in our direction, which we may regard as a threat, may trigger one or another scenario. Therefore, Lukashenka should be as careful as possible, even, elementary, in his expressions.
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