Lukashenko Has Nowhere To Retreat

The Pyurera was used as a battering ram.

What happened in Latvia was exactly what experts had warned about and what the military feared most. A group of unidentified, masked individuals entered Latvian territory from Belarus, stole surveillance cameras, and returned unhindered before border patrols arrived. Prior to that, apparently to divert attention, a group of about 20 illegal immigrants led by unidentified armed men ostentatiously stormed the border.

The Latvian Armed Forces have classified the incident as a deliberate provocation and a hybrid security threat. What conclusions should we draw?

Unfortunately, despite warnings and preparations by the countries on NATO’s eastern flank, Russia turned out to be better prepared and more aggressive than its partners had anticipated. Putin did not wait until 2029, when, according to analysts’ estimates, the Alliance was supposed to be ready to counter the Russian threat. On the contrary, he accelerated the launch of a hybrid attack on Europe, traditionally using the Belarusian “mashed potato” regime as a battering ram. Moreover, this happened on the Kremlin dictator’s birthday, which is no coincidence. Lukashenko has nowhere to retreat. He is bound by blood ties to the Kremlin dwarf, has just settled a conflict with the U.S., and may not expect a harsh response to his provocations. In the worst-case scenario, the illegal immigrants will be detained or shot; this poses no threat to Lukashenko.

As for Putin, he conducted a trial run, and the results should give him cause for optimism. The operation was a success, which means a new, larger-scale attack against Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania will take place in the very near future. And this time, it could end in bloodshed. Likely breakthrough points are Daugavpils and Narva.

Taras Berezovets, “Facebook”

You can support the website Charter97.org

MULTI-CURRENCY ACCOUNT FOR ASSISTANCE:

Bank's name: Bank Millennium S.A.
Address: ul. Stanislawa Zaryna, 2A, 02-593, Warszawa
IBAN: PL97116022020000000216711123
SWIFT: BIGBPLPW
Name of the account holder: Fundacja “KARTA ‘97”
Purpose/title of payment: Donation for statuary aims

You can contact us by the e-mail charter97@gmail.com