The Kremlin's Failed Idea

There will be no new “Yalta.”

A potential meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and Putin must not turn into negotiations on the division of the world and the fate of other states without their participation. To avoid a “Yalta 2.0” scenario, the dialogue among the major powers must be expanded to include Ukraine, the U.S.’s European allies, India, Japan, and representatives of the Global South. This approach is proposed by Charles Kupchan, a professor of international relations at Georgetown University and a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, in an article for Foreign Affairs (translation by Charter97.org).

The idea of a trilateral summit originated as an initiative of the Kremlin. Moscow hopes to use the meeting to discuss ending the war against Ukraine. However, negotiations in which three leaders would decide the future of other countries would be reminiscent of the 1945 Yalta Conference. At that time, the leaders of the USSR, the U.S., and the U.K. determined the postwar order in Europe, and Eastern Europe came under Soviet domination.

Kupchan does not propose creating a closed club of the three most powerful nations. He advocates for a flexible system of international consultations, in which the composition of participants depends on the issue under discussion. Issues of European security cannot be resolved without Ukraine and the Europeans, and countries in the region must participate in discussions of Asian issues.
At the same time, the political scientist acknowledges that current conditions are not conducive to creating a sustainable mechanism for cooperation among the great powers. He identifies Putin as the main obstacle, as he seeks to overhaul the existing international order. Such a system, Kupchan believes, could become a reality once the Russian leader steps down.

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