Lukashenka Is Afraid of Security Officials: A Coup Is Possible at a Certain Stage

This scenario is likely.

You don't change horses in the middle of a stream, but this is not about the Belarusian regime. This week, the illegal usurper reshuffled the personnel deck and reappointed several high-ranking officials, Belsat reports.

While the main focus is on the protests in Russia, Lukashenka is taking on the move to move officials. There is a new chief of the Security Council, the head of Hrodna Azot, and new assistants in a number of areas. The usurper gives them a covenant on fresh tracks:

"Times are difficult. They will sway and swing us; you can see it already in Russia."

These people will have new signs on their offices, but there are no new faces in the vertical. The siloviki are obviously in favor, and this is a trend that will be with us for a long time.

Political scientist Valery Karbalevich comments on the situation:

"Today, key posts in the country are already occupied by KGB generals: both the head of the Lukashenka's administration and the head of the KGK were KGB generals. Their role is growing, and they would like to claim a new role, to make political decisions."

The authorities, faced with popular discontent, placeв a bet on violence - the security apparatus. However, with such a special status, the siloviki are gradually becoming almost a separate caste, and there are new threats for Lukashenka himself.

Political observer Aliaksandr Klaskouski says:

"He will become dependent on this caste, so a situation will arise when at a certain stage the tail starts to twist the dog. If we are half engaged in conspiracy threats, then at a certain stage, such a palace coup is possible."

When we previously asked Russian experts why the Kremlin supports Minsk, despite its dissatisfaction with an unreliable ally, we heard in response that Moscow has no one else to count on in Belarus. A strong power caste opens up certain possibilities. And Lukashenka understands this.

Aliaksandr Plaskavitski, the former head of the main state department of the Lukashenka administration, notes:

"He is very much afraid of the employees staying in one place. They will get used to each other, get to know each other, make friends - this is dangerous for him. Therefore, he does everything to ensure that the rotation takes place so that they do not have time to make friends and make up some kind of collusion."