‘Events In Second Half Of 2024 Can Be Totally Unpredictable’

A military expert told how events will develop on the war fronts in Ukraine.

The website Charter97.org asked Ukrainian military-political observer of the Information Resistance group Oleksandr Kovalenko to give a forecast of what the situation will be on the war fronts in Ukraine next year:

— Preliminarily, I can say that the Lyman-Kupyansk direction, Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions for the Ukrainian Defense Forces will be bridgeheads of a predominantly defensive type. Defense operations there will continue at least throughout the winter and, most likely, until the end of spring.

From the end of spring I do not rule out a change in tactics. But all this time, for the Ukrainian Defense Forces, these bridgeheads will be of a defensive type. Of course, with counterattacks, retaliatory actions, and the return of positions. However, there is definitely no talk of any counter-offensive in the next six months.

As for the left bank of the Kherson region, it is quite stable there and the bridgehead will broaden. I think that it is there that the Ukrainian Defense Forces will be able to expand the area of controlled territories. In 2024, this will be a springboard that will attract attention due to offensive operations.

I would like to emphasize that these will be offensive operations of limited functionality, but the Ukrainian Defense Forces will not be on constant defense there, but will rather expand their bridgehead.

Developments in the second half of 2024 may be completely unpredictable. It will entirely depend on a whole range of factors. The support of our partners for Ukraine is also important: what supplies we will receive, what exactly we will be provided with.

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