‘Russians Have No Clue Where AFU Will Deliver Decisive Blow’
16- 28.06.2023, 15:02
- 21,480
Which of the bridgeheads will Zaluzhny choose?
The offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been going on for three weeks. Ukrainian fighters are attacking in several directions at once. Which one will the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny choose for the decisive blow? The Charter97.org website talked about this with Ukrainian military analyst Oleksandr Kovalenko.
— Russian propagandists write that the Armed Forces of Ukraine crossed the Dnipro and are entrenched in the Oleshli area. Will the Ukrainian fighters be able to develop success?
— I can say that two months ago, Russian propagandists reacted in panic when they saw a video of our fighters landing on the left bank of the Dnipro, performing combat missions. The everyday actions of the sabotage and reconnaissance group were perceived as some kind of counteroffensive, landing, and the like. But in general, it was a regular practice of combat missions on the left bank.
I won’t be surprised at all if the current events are a reaction according to the principle “fear has big eyes”.
— After the explosion of the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant, the Russian defense on the left bank of the Kherson region was damaged. Does this affect the counter-offensive actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?
— Indeed, the first line of defense — the line of support for the Russian occupiers — is badly damaged. They tried to fix it, but their actions were not successful. A significant part of the fortifications has either been washed away or is now visible to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Now the supply lane is easy enough to pass, given these factors.
— In the Bakhmut direction, Ukrainian fighters took the Kurdyumivka dam. What is happening now near Bakhmut?
— The AFU continues the system of counterattacks to the north and south of the city. The Ukrainian military completely cleared the right bank of the canal in the southern sector. We continue moving along the canal to the south, bypassing Klishchiivka. Similar actions are taking place along the highway in the direction of Berkhivka. Progressively and slowly, with the maximum preservation of the lives of personnel, advances are being made in order to cover Bakhmut and cut the southern route and the northern fork along M03.
In the city itself, fighting was resumed by Ukrainian fighters. Partial restoration of control over some locations in the city itself begins.
— Experts agree that now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are “probing” the defense of the Russians in different directions in order to deliver a decisive blow in the right place. Based on the incoming information, what direction can General Zaluzhny choose?
— All four bridgeheads — Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and the left bank of the Kherson region — have their pros and cons. They are associated with the deployed contingent, lines of defense, and even with the terrain and other features. Each of these bridgeheads has its own vulnerabilities. Where exactly the main blow will be is difficult to predict. The only thing that can be said is that if it is produced, the Russians should not have the opportunity to come to their senses. The blow should provoke a cascade collapse of the defense of the Russian invaders. If there is a cascading collapse, they will flee in a certain direction.
— If we cannot determine the direction of the strike, does that mean the Russians also have no clue about it?
— They still don't get it.
Bank's name: Bank Millennium S.A.
Address: ul. Stanislawa Zaryna, 2A, 02-593, Warszawa
IBAN: PL97116022020000000216711123
SWIFT: BIGBPLPW
Name of the account holder: Fundacja “KARTA ‘97”
Purpose/title of payment: Donation for statuary aims
You can contact us by the e-mail charter97@gmail.com
