31 October 2026, Saturday, 12:18
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The Economist: Russia's Casualties In Ukraine May Exceed Two Million

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The Economist: Russia's Casualties In Ukraine May Exceed Two Million

This figure is corroborated by data from several different sources.

Russia’s irreplaceable human losses since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine may range from 374,000 to 770,000 military personnel. At the same time, when wounded soldiers are taken into account, the enemy’s losses could reach several million.

Between 1.4 and 2.1 million people—that is the estimated total number of Russians killed or wounded during the full-scale war. These figures were published on October 30 by the British publication The Economist.

The media outlet uses a statistical model to estimate the number of Russian casualties in the war. It combines data from Western intelligence agencies, defense ministries, and independent researchers, as well as its own data on the course of hostilities in Ukraine. In particular, it takes into account the intensity of fighting across all sections of the front.

According to media analysts’ estimates, since May alone, the lower bound of the estimate for Russian fatalities has risen by 94,000. The upper limit, meanwhile, has increased by 252,000. Over the past 15 months, the lower limit has nearly doubled, while the upper limit has increased by more than 2.2 times.

For comparison: in May of this year, the media estimated Russia’s war casualties at 280,000–518,000 dead and a total of 1.1–1.5 million killed and wounded.

It is worth noting that Moscow itself does not disclose information about its own war casualties.

Meanwhile, on the morning of October 31, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the enemy’s total losses amount to approximately 1,588,170 people. Over the past 24 hours, Moscow lost another 1,670 fighters.

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