13 June 2026, Saturday, 19:06
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"The Crimean Bridge Is Now More Vulnerable Than Before"

"The Crimean Bridge Is Now More Vulnerable Than Before"

How likely is another Ukrainian Armed Forces strike on this target?

The website Charter97.org posed to military expert and co-director of foreign policy and international security programs at the Razumkov Center in Kyiv Oleksiy Melnik:

— Currently, the vulnerability of this bridge to attacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine is much higher than it was even a year ago, when the first successful attacks took place.

The question is different. There are differing opinions on the best time to do so if Ukraine decides to destroy or damage this bridge. I have seen that analogies are also drawn with the events of late 2022, when a Russian group in Kherson was pinned down against the Dnieper, left without supplies, and then the remnants of that group were given an unspoken opportunity to withdraw from there.

Perhaps this is one of the options being considered when deciding when to strike this bridge. If Russia makes what they then called a “difficult decision,” the Crimean Bridge may be left standing so that they do not fight to the last and do not resort to looting when the soldiers run out of food on Crimean territory.

There is another nuance that may also be taken into account. A disproportionately large number of the occupiers’ air defense assets are concentrated on guarding the Kerch Bridge. If the bridge is destroyed, then these air defense assets will be redeployed to other critical areas, which is probably not in Ukraine’s interest.

Therefore, the Crimean Bridge is now more vulnerable than before, but there are likely some considerations as to why this strike is not being carried out right now.

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