The Kremlin Is In A State Of Shock
- 4.09.2026, 18:24
The enemy's resources are not unlimited.
According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in August, Russia suffered some of its heaviest losses in manpower and vehicles: more than 42,000 occupiers were “forcibly demobilized,” and 13,835 vehicles were destroyed. But the main news lies not in the raw numbers, but in the trend: for the second month in a row, enemy losses have exceeded 40,000. At the same time, the enemy’s rate of advance is slowing overall and is even negative in some areas.
According to estimates by the U.S.-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW), every kilometer of Ukrainian territory the occupiers attempt to seize costs them approximately 500 personnel killed. In reality, this figure may be significantly higher, as the combat zone is constantly expanding, and under these conditions, no method for measuring territorial gains is perfect. Nevertheless, the overall situation is no secret to anyone: the aggressor is literally running into a wall of Ukrainian drones, losing the initiative, and retreating in some areas.
The enemy’s primary objective at this time—the capture of the Donbas—remains out of reach. From time to time, Western media outlets, citing information gathered by American and European journalists accredited in Moscow, report that Putin has set a goal of seizing the Donbas by some specific date. If we review all reports on this topic throughout 2026, we will see that Moscow originally planned to occupy the Donbas by fall. Now these plans have been pushed back to winter.
Since the start of the full-scale invasion, Putin has set specific deadlines for the complete occupation of Donbas for his army at least 15 times. According to ISW analysts, the situation in the “Swamp Tsar’s” mind remains unchanged: Putin’s plans are “out of touch with reality.” The conclusions of American observers align with our assessments: given the current pace of the offensive, Russian forces will most likely be unable to capture the Donbas by the end of 2026—and perhaps never.
Ukraine’s defense forces are not merely heroically holding their lines but are constantly building on their successes. Suffice it to recall that as early as May, Ukraine’s strategic objective was to inflict at least 200 enemy casualties for every square kilometer of advance. Over the course of three months, this objective was exceeded by more than double. But even these figures do not represent the limit of our capabilities. Every day and every night, the search for new effective solutions continues; technological evolution does not stop for a moment.
The enemy’s resources are not limitless. International experts are competing to predict when the Russians will run out of cannon fodder, money, or gasoline. We, however, prefer not to make predictions, but rather to systematically, on an industrial scale, destroy this “cannon fodder,” burn down its oil refining industry, cut off its logistics, and maintain the initiative in all spheres and on all fronts.
We understand that sooner or later the “failed empire” will finally lose its ability to launch offensives, begin to retreat, and ultimately perish. We’re holding our ground and bringing Victory closer. Glory to Ukraine!
Yuriy Fedorenko, “Facebook”
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