"NATO Warns Lukashenko"

The first strike will be launched against the location of "Oreshnik."

The Supreme Allied Commander Europe Alexus Grinkevich presented a new strategy to counter Russian aggression. Among the possible targets listed in the strategy are military facilities on the territory of Belarus, which the Lukashenko regime has turned into a springboard for the Kremlin.

What does this mean for the Lukashenko regime, which for years has been exposing the country to Russian hybrid attacks against Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia? The website Charter97.org discussed this with Ukrainian politician and former Verkhovna Rada deputy Borislaw Bereza:

— What does NATO’s new strategy mean for the Lukashenko regime?

— Lukashenko has long been a vassal and satellite of Russia. The relationship between Lukashenko and Putin is one between a dependent and someone who knows how to wield power over another.

That is why NATO, the European Union, and the United States no longer view Belarus as a separate entity. They view it as an ally of Russia in a potential conflict. Moreover, the deployment of the “Oreshnik” to Belarusian territory has already placed the country among the targets that will be struck if Russia attacks Europe.

It is also worth noting that the Supreme Allied Commander Europe immediately stated: under no circumstances does anyone want to attack Russia. Everyone simply wants to show what will happen to Russia if it attacks, as well as to make an attack on Europe impossible. This is an absolutely clear position. But Belarusians need to understand that today it is Lukashenko who is leading the country into the flames of war. His close ties with Putin are pushing Belarus toward involvement in the conflict sooner or later.

— Which targets in Belarus could be the first to be hit if Russia decides to escalate the situation or launch a direct attack against NATO?

— It’s elementary. The first strike will be directed at the location of “Oreshnik.” Subsequent strikes will target the locations of Russian troops on Belarusian territory and existing training bases.

Then, strikes may target so-called critical infrastructure facilities.

— Can Grinkevich’s tough statement stop Putin and Lukashenko, or do dictators only understand real strikes against their military machine?

— This new NATO strategy isn’t very different from the old one. It’s simply more formalized and adapted to the present day. Moreover, it clearly states that drones, ground-based robotic systems, and other means will be used to gain the upper hand over Russia. It’s also no longer a secret that strikes will be launched against St. Petersburg and other cities. This will be done specifically to deter Russia from carrying out its aggressive actions.

But we must understand clearly: today, Europe—aware of the danger posed by Putin—does not want an escalation. And what we are seeing now is not merely a deterrent, but a warning that Europe has a plan for what to do and how to contain Russia. It is, so to speak, a preventive informational “vaccination.”

It is important for people in Russia to understand what is happening. There, politeness and decorum are often mistaken for weakness. Europeans are polite and courteous, but now—thanks in part to Ukraine—they have a very clear understanding of what to expect from Russia. And they understand that they shouldn’t hold back.

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