The Economist: The U.S. Has Drafted A New Peace Plan For Ukraine

The main points have been revealed.

Negotiations to end the war may include the creation of a demilitarized zone in Donbas, Ukraine’s renunciation of NATO membership, and the easing of sanctions against Russia. Ukrainian officials fear that U.S. economic interests may take precedence over security concerns.

This is reported by The Economist.

Special envoys of U.S. President Donald Trump—Steve Whitecoff and Jared Kushner may be misjudging the motives of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, which makes them vulnerable to Russian manipulation. Meanwhile, Washington is trying to resume negotiations on a peace agreement that could involve a number of concessions on Russia’s part.

According to a source in the U.S. government who spoke to the publication, Trump’s latest moves are not intended to force Ukraine to capitulate. Instead, the U.S. president has allegedly fallen victim to a “successful disinformation campaign” by Russia. His decision is also influenced by poll results unfavorable to him and the Republican Party ahead of midterm elections for the U.S. Congress.

What concessions might the peace plan entail

Pressure from Washington coincides with attempts to resume negotiations on a peace agreement as quickly as possible, the terms of which may prove unfavorable to Ukraine. Ukrainian officials do not have complete information about the latest proposals, but they are familiar with the general outline.
Among the plan’s possible provisions:


the creation of a demilitarized zone in the Donbas;

the possibility of Russia concluding business agreements with American companies, the easing of sanctions, and the normalization of political relations with Moscow;
an investment package for Ukraine and the prospect of EU membership in exchange for renouncing NATO membership;

the possibility of resuming Russian gas supplies to Europe and the operation of the Nord Stream gas pipelines.

At the same time, Russia shows no willingness to cease hostilities and continues to attack Ukrainian energy facilities as winter approaches. According to sources interviewed by the publication, Moscow may be dragging out the negotiation process in an attempt to secure concessions, particularly the lifting of sanctions.

Ukraine fears that economic interests will take precedence over security concerns

One Ukrainian official expressed concern that, for some participants in the negotiations, economic interests may prove more important than achieving a lasting peace.

Ukrainian negotiators fear that Trump’s representatives may strike economic deals favorable to themselves with Russia even before terms acceptable to Ukraine for ending the war and security guarantees are established.

“From their perspective, why wait and waste time? Time is money,” the Ukrainian official noted.

Restrictions on Starlink and Easing of Sanctions in Moscow’s Favor
Washington’s decision to restrict Starlink’s operations could have been perceived as a diplomatic warning, but Ukraine felt its consequences on the battlefield. At the same time, according to the publication, representatives of the Trump administration are in no hurry to acknowledge responsibility for this decision.

For Putin, recent events may have turned out particularly favorably: Trump agreed to a deal on Russian diesel fuel supplies and postponed the imposition of new sanctions against Russia in accordance with a legislative initiative by Senator Lindsey Graham.

Why a Democratic Victory in the Elections Might Not Help Ukraine

Criticism by Volodymyr Zelenskyy of the U.S. president’s “weak decisions” was likely based on the assumption that a possible Democratic victory in the midterm elections would weaken Trump’s position.

However, as one congressman notes, such a scenario could also have the opposite effect. If the Democrats regain control of Congress and step up the investigation into Trump, the U.S. president may act even more aggressively.

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