Foreign Policy Outlines Scenario Of Ukraine's Victory Over Russia

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are gradually implementing their strategy.

To achieve success in battles with the Russian occupiers, the Ukrainian Defense Forces need a larger number of weapons, which must be of the highest quality. The key to victory is relentless and accurate air attacks that are well synchronized with the maneuver of combined arms forces on the ground.

In the material by Foreign Policy it is stated that Ukraine is implementing its strategy to deny Russia control over the Black Sea. With most of its ships driven out of its home port in Sevastopol, the Russian Black Sea Fleet can no longer find safe haven anywhere along the Crimean Peninsula. All ports there are now vulnerable to attack.

Ukraine can attack Kalibr carriers

While Russia has been going all-out to attack Ukraine’s infrastructure, its risky move to deploy ships and submarines armed with Kalibr missiles in the Black Sea is exposing them to potential Ukrainian attack.

“Ukraine’s success has been due to domestically produced missiles and drones, sometimes launched using Zodiac boats or jet skis. But its most potent attacks have come from the air, where Ukraine has used its Soviet-era fighter aircraft to launch both domestically produced and NATO-supplied missiles. These attacks have taken place with the protection of Ukraine’s advanced air defenses—including newly supplied foreign ones—which are regularly shooting down the majority of Russian missiles and drones destined for Ukrainian targets,” the authors note.

Ukraine has achieved gains in the war

The publication stresses that Ukraine has made significant strides denying Russia control of both the sea and airspace over and around its territory, thereby preventing the Russian Navy and Air Force from operating with impunity.

“Indeed, the current conventional wisdom in large parts of the West is that Ukraine is losing the ground war, leaving no pathway to victory for the country as Russia pounds Ukrainian civilians into submission. Kyiv might as well call for a cease-fire and sue for peace.The trouble with this scenario is that it spells defeat not only for Ukraine, but also for the United States and its allies in Europe and Asia,” the experts believe.

Path to victory for Ukraine

The experts believe that the Russian army can be defeated by making use of Ukraine’s willingness to fight in new ways. The key to dislodging the Russians is to subject them to relentless and accurate air attacks that are well synchronized with the maneuver of combined arms forces on the ground.

“For power from the air to be decisive in 2024, the Ukrainian Armed Forces must create temporary windows of localized air superiority in which to mass firepower and maneuver forces. Given the Ukrainians’ success in denying their airspace to Russia at points of their choosing, such windows are possible using the assets they already have at hand. More and better weapons tailored to this scenario would make them more successful across the entire front with Russia,” stated in the material.