Russia Getting Into Zugzwang: Scenario Of Coup In Kremlin Announced
15- 15.03.2024, 18:45
- 37,332
A new political figure will appear.
Doctor of Political Sciences Maksim Razumny believes that a scenario with a palace coup and appearance of a new political figure is possible in Russia
He said this to эспрессо.tv.
According to Maksim Razumniy, Russia may fall into a certain time trap, which in chess is called "zugzwang" (German: Zugzwang - "forcing a move"), a position in checkers and chess in which any move by a player leads to the deterioration of his situation.
"In principle, this could happen in six months - some kind of 'palace' coup, Putin being replaced by someone and so on. This gives an opportunity for some new political figure to appear, who will start negotiating with the West and bargain good terms for himself. But if Putin even stays in power, these new conditions become worse and worse. That is, it may happen in 2-3 years," the expert said.
In his opinion, the time when the active phase of hostilities will end is very important.
"We are not saying when the war will end, because now we do not see the possibility and necessity to end it with some kind of treaty or agreement with the dictator. We are talking about the end of the active phase of hostilities. And the sooner this happens, the sooner Russians will start asking, what was it and what was it for?" Maksim Razumny explained.
According to him, now, during the period of aggravation, Russian citizens instinctively support their army and president. However, once this is over, there will be a lot of questions about the young men lost in the war.
"That is, it is such a lengthy process, but it can be accelerated by any circumstance," the expert believes.